Next game
at Nebraska Wesleyan
Sat Oct 24 · 2 pm ET
Abel Stadium · series 4-0, won the last 4
Loras College 72% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Loras College
2-4American Rivers · Rock Bowl · 10,000 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
L 7-68 vs Wartburg
Our model gave Loras College 23% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Two real tests left: Dubuque 8%, Central College 29%
Win out 1% · expect 1.9 of 4 more wins
Loras College's chance to win each game left, from our model: Nebraska Wesleyan 72%, Central College 29%, Buena Vista 85%, Dubuque 8%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at Nebraska Wesleyan · our model 72% Loras College
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Loras College · 2026 schedule and results2-4Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 58%.Our rank entering each game: #575 to #562
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #575 | #590 | — | St. Olaf | W 31-16 | 1-0 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #573 | #533 | — | @Benedictine (IL) | L 25-28 | 1-1 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #568 | #564 | — | @Northwestern (MN) | W 49-13 | 2-1 | 0-0 | |
| 4 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 5 | Oct 3 | #545 | #471 | — | @Coe | L 14-35 | 2-2 | 0-1 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #553 | #552 | — | Simpson (IA) | L 21-38 | 2-3 | 0-2 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #562 | #445 | — | Wartburg | L 7-68 | 2-4 | 0-3 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #573 | #655 | @Nebraska Wesleyan | 2 pm ET72% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #573 | #493 | Central College | 2 pm ET29% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Buena Vista | 2 pm ET85% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @Dubuque | 2 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Loras College, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Loras College: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Loras College has won one of its last five.
4-6 over the last 10, and lost the last three.
Streak L3Last 5 · 1-4Last 10 · 4-6
Range of outcomes · Loras College · 2026
Range of outcomes · Loras College · 2026Loras College’s most likely regular season is 4-6. 96% of outcomes land from 3-7 to 5-5.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
2 wins 3%; 3 wins 24%; 4 wins 51%; 5 wins 20%; 6 wins 1%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor2-10Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base4-8Mid-table finish.
Ceiling7-5Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 2-4
Game feel58even gamescombined pts / game6th highest-scoring of 8 in the American Rivers
Heart rate0-1some dramain one-score games (1 of 6)3rd most one-score games of 8 in the American Rivers
Margin-8.5competitiveavg scoring margin6th best margin of 8 in the American Rivers
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among American Rivers teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
The Duhawks of Loras College in Dubuque, Iowa — a Catholic program that went a perfect 9-0 in 1947, playing in the American Rivers Conference at the storied Rock Bowl Stadium.
Title DroughtSince 1948 · 78 yrs
Loras went a perfect 9-0 in 1947 and plays in one of D3's great old stadiums — and the Duhawks get treated like a faceless small college in the American Rivers grind.
Game day
The experience
The Duhawks of Loras College in Dubuque, Iowa — a Catholic program that went a perfect 9-0 in 1947, playing in the American Rivers Conference at the storied Rock Bowl Stadium.
Playoff path
Loras College sits 6th in the American Rivers Conference and 161st of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
American Rivers · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dubuque | 3-0 | 4-2 | 59.5 |
| 2 | Wartburg | 3-0 | 4-2 | 57.4 |
| 3 | Coe | 3-0 | 4-2 | 53.6 |
| 4 | Simpson (IA) | 2-1 | 3-3 | 50.0 |
| 5 | Central College | 1-2 | 3-3 | 52.6 |
| 6 | Loras | 0-3 | 2-4 | 44.6 |
| 7 | Buena Vista | 0-3 | 1-5 | 36.4 |
| 8 | Nebraska Wesleyan | 0-3 | 0-6 | 34.8 |
44.6 CFB Zeitgeist#161 of 245 D352.4 strength of schedule
Win the American Rivers Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 2-4
Signature win 49-13 over Northwestern (MN); toughest day 7-68 against Wartburg.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site