Next game
vs Loras
Sat Oct 24 · 2 pm ET
Abel Stadium · series 0-4, lost the last 4
Nebraska Wesleyan University 28% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Nebraska Wesleyan University
0-6American Rivers · Abel Stadium · 2,500 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
L 11-44 vs Central College
Our model gave Nebraska Wesleyan University 28% before kickoff
The rest of the season
4 of 4 games under 70%, the hardest: Coe 4%
Win out <1% · expect 1.0 of 4 more wins
Nebraska Wesleyan University's chance to win each game left, from our model: Loras 28%, Coe 4%, Simpson (IA) 20%, Buena Vista 51%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line vs Loras · our model 28% Nebraska Wesleyan University
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Nebraska Wesleyan University · 2026 schedule and results0-6Hard slateAverage opponent win rate 66%.Our rank entering each game: #592 to #647
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #592 | #481 | — | Concordia (MN) | L 0-28 | 0-1 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #592 | — | — | @Dakota State University | L 0-52 | 0-2 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #616 | #527 | — | @Chicago | L 41-49 | 0-3 | 0-0 | |
| 4 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 5 | Oct 3 | #621 | #446 | — | Wartburg | L 26-69 | 0-4 | 0-1 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #645 | #501 | — | @Dubuque | L 22-44 | 0-5 | 0-2 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #647 | #505 | — | Central College | L 11-44 | 0-6 | 0-3 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #655 | #573 | Loras | 2 pm ET28% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #655 | #478 | @Coe | 2 pm ET4% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Simpson (IA) | 3 pm ET20% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @Buena Vista | 2 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Nebraska Wesleyan University, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Nebraska Wesleyan University: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Nebraska Wesleyan University has lost ten straight.
0-10 over the last 10, and lost the last ten.
Streak L10Last 5 · 0-5Last 10 · 0-10
Range of outcomes · Nebraska Wesleyan University · 2026
Range of outcomes · Nebraska Wesleyan University · 2026Nebraska Wesleyan University’s most likely regular season is 1-9. 96% of outcomes land from 0-10 to 2-8.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
0 wins 27%; 1 wins 47%; 2 wins 22%; 3 wins 4%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor0-12Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base0-12Mid-table finish.
Ceiling3-9Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 0-6
Game feel64even gamescombined pts / game3rd highest-scoring of 8 in the American Rivers
Heart rate0-1white-knucklein one-score games (1 of 6)2nd most one-score games of 8 in the American Rivers
Margin-31.0outgunnedavg scoring margin8th best margin of 8 in the American Rivers
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among American Rivers teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
Nebraska Wesleyan is the Lincoln Methodist university whose Prairie Wolves identity emerged in 2000 and whose 30-year Brian Keller era (1996–2025) became the definition of quiet, steady college football in the heartland.
Title DroughtSince 2000 · 26 yrs
Fans here believe nebraska's big-time football programs (Nebraska Cornhuskers, UNK Lopers) dominate the state narrative and media cycles. Nebraska Wesleyan knows it will never be the state's story…
Game day
The experience
Nebraska Wesleyan is the Lincoln Methodist university whose Prairie Wolves identity emerged in 2000 and whose 30-year Brian Keller era (1996–2025) became the definition of quiet, steady college football in the heartland.
Playoff path
Nebraska Wesleyan University sits 8th in the American Rivers Conference and 221st of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
American Rivers · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dubuque | 3-0 | 4-2 | 59.5 |
| 2 | Wartburg | 3-0 | 4-2 | 57.4 |
| 3 | Coe | 3-0 | 4-2 | 53.6 |
| 4 | Simpson (IA) | 2-1 | 3-3 | 50.0 |
| 5 | Central College | 1-2 | 3-3 | 52.6 |
| 6 | Loras | 0-3 | 2-4 | 44.6 |
| 7 | Buena Vista | 0-3 | 1-5 | 36.4 |
| 8 | Nebraska Wesleyan | 0-3 | 0-6 | 34.8 |
34.8 CFB Zeitgeist#221 of 245 D358.1 strength of schedule
Win the American Rivers Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 0-6
Signature win 41-49 over Chicago; toughest day 0-52 against Dakota State University.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site