Next game
vs Augsburg
Sat Oct 24 · 2 pm ET
Jake Christiansen Stadium · series 3-1, won the last 3
Concordia University Moorhead 96% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Concordia University Moorhead
5-1Minnesota · Jake Christiansen Stadium · 7,000 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
L 23-33 at Saint John’s (MN)
Our model gave Concordia University Moorhead 33% before kickoff
The rest of the season
One real test left: Bethel (MN) 50%
Win out 43% · expect 3.4 of 4 more wins
Concordia University Moorhead's chance to win each game left, from our model: Augsburg 96%, Bethel (MN) 50%, Macalester 96%, Carleton 94%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line vs Augsburg · our model 96% Concordia University Moorhead
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Concordia University Moorhead · 2026 schedule and results5-1Soft slateAverage opponent win rate 33%.Our rank entering each game: #481 to #453
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #481 | #592 | — | @Nebraska Wesleyan | W 28-0 | 1-0 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #481 | #591 | — | St. Olaf | W 51-0 | 2-0 | 1-0 | |
| 3 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 4 | Sep 26 | #468 | #487 | — | @Gustavus Adolphus | W 31-9 | 3-0 | 2-0 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #460 | #628 | — | @St. Scholastica | W 63-3 | 4-0 | 3-0 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #451 | #638 | — | Hamline | W 56-10 | 5-0 | 4-0 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #453 | #424 | — | @Saint John's (MN) | L 23-33 | 5-1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #449 | #569 | Augsburg | 2 pm ET96% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #448 | #438 | @Bethel (MN) | 2 pm ET50% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Macalester | 2 pm ET96% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | Carleton | 2 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Concordia University Moorhead, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Concordia University Moorhead: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Concordia University Moorhead has won four of its last five.
8-2 over the last 10, and lost the last one.
Streak L1Last 5 · 4-1Last 10 · 8-2
Range of outcomes · Concordia University Moorhead · 2026
Range of outcomes · Concordia University Moorhead · 2026Concordia University Moorhead’s most likely regular season is 8-2. 93% of outcomes land from 8-2 to 9-1.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
7 wins 7%; 8 wins 50%; 9 wins 43%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor8-4Competitive but likely outside bracket contention.
Base10-2Conference title contender. Bracket bid realistic.
Ceiling11-1Deep playoff run. Program-defining year.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 5-1
Game feel51even gamescombined pts / game7th highest-scoring of 10 in the Minnesota
Heart rate0-0rarely closein one-score games (0 of 6)9th most one-score games of 10 in the Minnesota
Margin+32.8competitiveavg scoring margin3rd best margin of 10 in the Minnesota
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among Minnesota teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
Concordia-Moorhead is a program built on stability—25 years of the same coach, 150+ career wins, and the quiet confidence that excellence is measured in tenure, not championships.
Title DroughtSince 1980 · 46 yrs
Fans here believe concordia-Moorhead's identity is not about what it's chasing—it's about what it refuses to abandon: the same coach, the same culture, the same commitment to building year after…
Game day
The experience
Concordia-Moorhead is a program built on stability—25 years of the same coach, 150+ career wins, and the quiet confidence that excellence is measured in tenure, not championships.
Playoff path
Concordia University Moorhead sits 2nd in the Minnesota Conference and 48th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — on the at-large bubble — the conference title is the surer route.
Minnesota · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint John's (MN) | 5-0 | 6-0 | 71.3 |
| 2 | Concordia (MN) | 4-1 | 5-1 | 61.6 |
| 3 | Bethel (MN) | 4-1 | 4-2 | 57.4 |
| 4 | Carleton | 4-1 | 4-2 | 56.7 |
| 5 | Gustavus Adolphus | 3-2 | 4-2 | 56.5 |
| 6 | Macalester | 2-3 | 3-3 | 48.4 |
| 7 | Augsburg | 2-3 | 2-4 | 41.8 |
| 8 | St. Olaf | 1-4 | 1-5 | 38.0 |
61.6 CFB Zeitgeist#48 of 245 D345.4 strength of schedule1 quality win
Win the Minnesota Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 5-1
Signature win 63-3 over St. Scholastica; toughest day 23-33 against Saint John's (MN).
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site