Next game
at Carleton
Sat Oct 24 · 2 pm ET
Laird Stadium · series 4-0, won the last 4
Saint John's (MN) 95% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Saint John’s (MN)
6-0Minnesota · Clemens Stadium · 7,482 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
W 33-23 vs Concordia (MN)
Our model gave Saint John's (MN) 67% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Every game left is at least 85%
Win out 81% · expect 3.8 of 4 more wins
Saint John's (MN)'s chance to win each game left, from our model: Carleton 95%, Gustavus Adolphus 85%, St. Scholastica >99%, St. Olaf >99%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at Carleton · our model 95% Saint John's (MN)
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Saint John's (MN) · 2026 schedule and results6-0Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 50%.Our rank entering each game: #437 to #424
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #437 | #430 | — | Wisconsin La Crosse | W 24-21 | 1-0 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 3 | Sep 19 | #436 | #656 | — | Hamline | W 77-0 | 2-0 | 1-0 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #438 | #558 | — | @Augsburg | W 72-0 | 3-0 | 2-0 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #435 | #438 | — | Bethel (MN) | W 42-16 | 4-0 | 3-0 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #433 | #589 | — | @Macalester | W 62-6 | 5-0 | 4-0 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #424 | #453 | — | Concordia (MN) | W 33-23 | 6-0 | 5-0 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #415 | #553 | @Carleton | 2 pm ET95% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #415 | #490 | Gustavus Adolphus | 2 pm ET85% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | @St. Scholastica | 1 pm ET>99% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @St. Olaf | 7 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Saint John's (MN), through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Saint John's (MN): a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Saint John's (MN) has won six straight.
9-1 over the last 10, and won the last six.
Streak W6Last 5 · 5-0Last 10 · 9-1
Range of outcomes · Saint John's (MN) · 2026
Range of outcomes · Saint John's (MN) · 2026Saint John’s (MN)’s most likely regular season is 10-0. 99% of outcomes land from 9-1 to 10-0.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
9 wins 18%; 10 wins 81%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor10-2Competitive but likely outside bracket contention.
Base12-0Conference title contender. Bracket bid realistic.
Ceiling12-0Deep playoff run. Program-defining year.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 6-0
Game feel63even gamescombined pts / game4th highest-scoring of 10 in the Minnesota
Heart rate1-0some dramain one-score games (1 of 6)4th most one-score games of 10 in the Minnesota
Margin+40.7comfortableavg scoring margin1st best margin of 10 in the Minnesota
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among Minnesota teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
The Johnnies of Collegeville, John Gagliardi's program — the winningest coach in college football history — with four national titles, two of them NCAA Division III crowns in 1976 and 2003.
Standard GapA national-champion program built by a legend, where the bar is a deep…
Saint John's won four national championships under the most successful coach the sport has ever produced, and skeptics keep asking whether the Johnnies can still be great without him.
Game day
The experience
The Johnnies of Collegeville, John Gagliardi's program, the winningest coach in college football history, with four national titles, two of them NCAA Division III crowns in 1976 and 2003.
Playoff path
Saint John’s (MN) sits 1st in the Minnesota Conference and 11th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — in the projected field with a seedable rating.
Minnesota · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint John's (MN) | 5-0 | 6-0 | 71.3 |
| 2 | Concordia (MN) | 4-1 | 5-1 | 61.6 |
| 3 | Bethel (MN) | 4-1 | 4-2 | 57.4 |
| 4 | Carleton | 4-1 | 4-2 | 56.7 |
| 5 | Gustavus Adolphus | 3-2 | 4-2 | 56.5 |
| 6 | Macalester | 2-3 | 3-3 | 48.4 |
| 7 | Augsburg | 2-3 | 2-4 | 41.8 |
| 8 | St. Olaf | 1-4 | 1-5 | 38.0 |
71.3 CFB Zeitgeist#11 of 245 D350.5 strength of schedule2 quality wins
Win the Minnesota Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 6-0
Signature win 77-0 over Hamline; toughest day 24-21 against Wisconsin La Crosse.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site