Next game
at Macalester
Sat Oct 24 · 8 pm ET
Macalester Stadium · series 4-0, won the last 4
Bethel University (Minnesota) 90% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Bethel University (Minnesota)
4-2Minnesota · Royal Stadium · 8,000 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
W 82-7 at St. Olaf
Our model gave Bethel University (Minnesota) 95% before kickoff
The rest of the season
One real test left: Concordia (MN) 50%
Win out 38% · expect 3.3 of 4 more wins
Bethel University (Minnesota)'s chance to win each game left, from our model: Macalester 90%, Concordia (MN) 50%, Carleton 86%, St. Scholastica 99%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at Macalester · our model 90% Bethel University (Minnesota)
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Bethel University (Minnesota) · 2026 schedule and results4-2Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 52%.Our rank entering each game: #435 to #442
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #435 | #431 | — | @North Central College | L 21-44 | 0-1 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 3 | Sep 19 | #435 | #487 | — | Gustavus Adolphus | W 49-7 | 1-1 | 1-0 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #435 | #650 | — | Hamline | W 77-0 | 2-1 | 2-0 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #438 | #435 | — | @Saint John's (MN) | L 16-42 | 2-2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #441 | #565 | — | Augsburg | W 63-0 | 3-2 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #442 | #610 | — | @St. Olaf | W 82-7 | 4-2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #438 | #599 | @Macalester | 8 pm ET90% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #438 | #448 | Concordia (MN) | 2 pm ET50% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | @Carleton | 1 pm ET86% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | St. Scholastica | 1 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Bethel University (Minnesota), through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Bethel University (Minnesota): a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Bethel University (Minnesota) has won four of its last five.
7-3 over the last 10, and won the last two.
Streak W2Last 5 · 4-1Last 10 · 7-3
Range of outcomes · Bethel University (Minnesota) · 2026
Range of outcomes · Bethel University (Minnesota) · 2026Bethel University (Minnesota)’s most likely regular season is 7-3. 99% of outcomes land from 6-4 to 8-2.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
6 wins 11%; 7 wins 49%; 8 wins 38%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor6-6Competitive but likely outside bracket contention.
Base8-4Conference title contender. Bracket bid realistic.
Ceiling10-2Deep playoff run. Program-defining year.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 4-2
Game feel68even gamescombined pts / game3rd highest-scoring of 10 in the Minnesota
Heart rate0-0some dramain one-score games (0 of 6)8th most one-score games of 10 in the Minnesota
Margin+34.7comfortableavg scoring margin2nd best margin of 10 in the Minnesota
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among Minnesota teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
Bethel is a program that shows up undefeated and plays to win it all—a small Minnesota school proving excellence is possible anywhere.
Title DroughtSince 1997 · 29 yrs
Fans here believe bethel's chip is that the national spotlight rarely finds its way to St. Paul—the Royals can go undefeated and still be the team no one outside Minnesota knows about.
Game day
The experience
Bethel is a program that shows up undefeated and plays to win it all—a small Minnesota school proving excellence is possible anywhere.
Playoff path
Bethel University (Minnesota) sits 3rd in the Minnesota Conference and 77th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
Minnesota · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint John's (MN) | 5-0 | 6-0 | 71.3 |
| 2 | Concordia (MN) | 4-1 | 5-1 | 61.6 |
| 3 | Bethel (MN) | 4-1 | 4-2 | 57.4 |
| 4 | Carleton | 4-1 | 4-2 | 56.7 |
| 5 | Gustavus Adolphus | 3-2 | 4-2 | 56.5 |
| 6 | Macalester | 2-3 | 3-3 | 48.4 |
| 7 | Augsburg | 2-3 | 2-4 | 41.8 |
| 8 | St. Olaf | 1-4 | 1-5 | 38.0 |
57.4 CFB Zeitgeist#77 of 245 D352.4 strength of schedule1 quality win
Win the Minnesota Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 4-2
Signature win 77-0 over Hamline; toughest day 16-42 against Saint John's (MN).
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site