Next game
vs Bethel (MN)
Sat Oct 24 · 8 pm ET
Macalester Stadium · series 0-4, lost the last 4
Macalester College 10% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Macalester College
3-3Minnesota · Macalester Stadium · 4,000 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
L 17-27 at Augsburg
Our model gave Macalester College 52% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Three real tests left: Concordia (MN) 4%, Bethel (MN) 10%, Gustavus Adolphus 16%
Win out <1% · expect 1.0 of 4 more wins
Macalester College's chance to win each game left, from our model: Bethel (MN) 10%, St. Olaf 74%, Concordia (MN) 4%, Gustavus Adolphus 16%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line vs Bethel (MN) · our model 10% Macalester College
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Macalester College · 2026 schedule and results3-3Soft slateAverage opponent win rate 38%.Our rank entering each game: #615 to #592
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #615 | #609 | — | @Martin Luther | W 34-21 | 1-0 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 3 | Sep 19 | #612 | #512 | — | Carleton | L 45-48 | 1-1 | 0-1 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #604 | #629 | — | St. Scholastica | W 24-14 | 2-1 | 1-1 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #598 | #639 | — | @Hamline | W 34-21 | 3-1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #589 | #433 | — | Saint John's (MN) | L 6-62 | 3-2 | 2-2 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #592 | #569 | — | @Augsburg | L 17-27 | 3-3 | 2-3 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #599 | #438 | Bethel (MN) | 8 pm ET10% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #599 | #613 | @St. Olaf | 2 pm ET74% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | @Concordia (MN) | 2 pm ET4% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | Gustavus Adolphus | 1 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Macalester College, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Macalester College: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Macalester College has won two of its last five.
4-6 over the last 10, and lost the last two.
Streak L2Last 5 · 2-3Last 10 · 4-6
Range of outcomes · Macalester College · 2026
Range of outcomes · Macalester College · 2026Macalester College’s most likely regular season is 4-6. 98% of outcomes land from 3-7 to 5-5.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
3 wins 19%; 4 wins 60%; 5 wins 19%; 6 wins 2%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor4-8Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base6-6Mid-table finish.
Ceiling9-3Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 3-3
Game feel59even gamescombined pts / game5th highest-scoring of 10 in the Minnesota
Heart rate0-1some dramain one-score games (1 of 6)5th most one-score games of 10 in the Minnesota
Margin-5.5competitiveavg scoring margin5th best margin of 10 in the Minnesota
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among Minnesota teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
Macalester is a historic MIAC institution playing at small-school scale—a liberal-arts commitment to football as part of a broader educational mission, not the mission itself.
Title DroughtSince 1990 · 36 yrs
Fans here believe macalester's identity is not about what it lacks—it's about what it prioritizes: a balanced approach to college athletics, where academics and community come first, and football is…
Game day
The experience
Macalester is a historic MIAC institution playing at small-school scale—a liberal-arts commitment to football as part of a broader educational mission, not the mission itself.
Playoff path
Macalester College sits 6th in the Minnesota Conference and 129th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
Minnesota · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint John's (MN) | 5-0 | 6-0 | 71.3 |
| 2 | Concordia (MN) | 4-1 | 5-1 | 61.6 |
| 3 | Bethel (MN) | 4-1 | 4-2 | 57.4 |
| 4 | Carleton | 4-1 | 4-2 | 56.7 |
| 5 | Gustavus Adolphus | 3-2 | 4-2 | 56.5 |
| 6 | Macalester | 2-3 | 3-3 | 48.4 |
| 7 | Augsburg | 2-3 | 2-4 | 41.8 |
| 8 | St. Olaf | 1-4 | 1-5 | 38.0 |
48.4 CFB Zeitgeist#129 of 245 D346.1 strength of schedule
Win the Minnesota Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 3-3
Signature win 34-21 over Martin Luther; toughest day 6-62 against Saint John's (MN).
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site