St. Olaf College · Next-Season Outcome Band1931
The Goat Trophy rivalry begins
St. Olaf and Carleton establish the rivalry that would become one of the oldest continuous in college football
St. Olaf College4-6Verdict Begins·Offseason
St. Olaf is a program defined by one rivalry—the Goat Trophy against Carleton is everything, and the 2025 loss of it still stings.
Title DroughtSince 2025
Fans here believe st. Olaf's identity is entirely wrapped in Carleton. The rivalry is not a secondary competition; it IS the season. Everything else is preseason.
low signal
Oles country waits.
St. Olaf College · Next-Season Outcome Band
Floor / Base / Ceiling
Floor 2-10
Base 4-8
Ceiling 7-5
floor2-10Rebuild year. Below .500.
base4-8Mid-table finish.
ceiling7-5Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Variance assumed at ±2 wins from last-season record. Replace with the season-path projection once preview data is built.
Recent Form · last 10 games
Cooling
Two of five. Schedule has caught up.
Streak L1Last 5 · 2-3Last 10 · 4-6
The forecast
Opens Sep 5
vs Loras · away
Game Week
9 days
until kickoff · at Loras · Sat Sep 5 · 22:00 UTC
The experience
St. Olaf is a program defined by one rivalry—the Goat Trophy against Carleton is everything, and the 2025 loss of it still stings.
DIVISION III · THE PATH TO THE STAGG BOWL
St. Olaf College sits 7th in the Minnesota Conference and 148th of 240 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
Minnesota · 2025
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bethel (MN) | 9-0 | 12-1 | 73.6 |
| 2 | Saint John's (MN) | 8-1 | 10-2 | 66.0 |
| 3 | Concordia (MN) | 6-3 | 7-3 | 58.6 |
| 4 | Carleton | 6-3 | 6-4 | 55.4 |
| 5 | Gustavus Adolphus | 5-4 | 5-5 | 52.3 |
| 6 | Augsburg | 4-5 | 4-6 | 49.3 |
| 7 | St. Olaf | 3-6 | 4-6 | 46.4 |
| 8 | St. Scholastica | 2-7 | 3-7 | 43.5 |
46.4 CFB Zeitgeist#148 of 240 D352.5 strength of schedule1 quality win
Win the Minnesota Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2025 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
THE 2025 SEASON · 4-6
Signature win 32-7 over Northwestern (MN); toughest day 10-64 against Bethel (MN).
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
The Pulse on St. Olaf College
—
Oles country waits.
What moved it — fall camp · last 14 days
Camp
Fall camp open — install + scrimmage cycle
ongoing
"Go St. Olaf"
— St. Olaf College fanbase · recurring line
0 mentions · awaiting signal
Player stats — 2025 season
No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.
St. Olaf College · 2025 schedule & results4-6Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 50%.
| Wk | Date | Us | Opp | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sep 6 | — | — | — | Northwestern (MN) | W 32–7 | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| 4 | Sep 20 | #523 | #420 | — | Concordia (MN) | W 17–16 | 2-0 | 1-0 |
| 5 | Sep 27 | #516 | #515 | — | @Carleton | L 28–35 | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| 6 | Oct 4 | #525 | #472 | — | @Augsburg | L 13–44 | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| 7 | Oct 11 | #563 | #573 | — | Gustavus Adolphus | L 21–35 | 2-3 | 1-3 |
| 8 | Oct 18 | #592 | #431 | — | @Bethel (MN) | L 10–64 | 2-4 | 1-4 |
| 9 | Oct 25 | #587 | #649 | — | St. Scholastica | W 44–41 | 3-4 | 2-4 |
| 10 | Nov 2 | #593 | #618 | — | @Macalester | L 6–27 | 3-5 | 2-5 |
| 11 | Nov 8 | #606 | #661 | — | Hamline | W 41–34 | 4-5 | 3-5 |
| 12 | Nov 15 | #607 | #398 | — | @Saint John's (MN) | L 21–63 | 4-6 | 3-6 |
Home-Field Advantage · St. Olaf College · 2018-present
Strong
63% home win rate vs 40% on the road. margin runs +10.1 better at home. Klein Field at Manitou seats 3,500.
Home12-7Away8-12
Venue texture
64°F average kickoff temp; 11% of games had measurable precipitation; 9 mph average wind.
Based on 19 home games with weather data.
All-Time Record
20-20
since 1944 · 5 seasons · .500 win rate
HOME
12-7
AWAY
8-13
NEUTRAL
0-0
1940s
2020s
Program memory
What this program never forgets
Most weeks vanish. These didn’t.
2025 Goat Trophy loss to Carleton
St. Olaf loses 35-28 to Carleton, sending the Goat Trophy to Northfield—a loss that haunts the entire 2026 season
Wound
Moment of the Year · St. Olaf College · 2025
Moment of the Year · St. Olaf College · 2025Won 32-7 vs Northwestern (MN)
Week 2 of 2025. A statement margin. Recruiting boards re-rendered overnight.
Postseason History
Postseason HistoryRecent postseason (2023): 1-0
Most recent: 2023 — win 7-28 (away). Last 5 postseason: 1-0.
2023
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