Next game
vs Coe
Sat Oct 24 · 2 pm ET
Bill Buxton Stadium · series 0-4, lost the last 4
Simpson College (IA) 31% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Simpson College (IA)
3-3American Rivers · Bill Buxton Stadium · 5,000 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
L 27-56 vs Dubuque
Our model gave Simpson College (IA) 54% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Three real tests left: Wartburg 9%, Coe 31%, Central College 39%
Win out 1% · expect 1.6 of 4 more wins
Simpson College (IA)'s chance to win each game left, from our model: Coe 31%, Wartburg 9%, Nebraska Wesleyan 80%, Central College 39%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line vs Coe · our model 31% Simpson College (IA)
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Simpson College (IA) · 2026 schedule and results3-3Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 46%.Our rank entering each game: #568 to #536
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #568 | #529 | — | @Augustana (IL) | L 14-42 | 0-1 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #572 | #633 | — | Crown | W 52-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 4 | Sep 26 | #571 | #457 | — | Howard Payne | L 28-52 | 1-2 | 0-0 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #573 | #634 | — | @Buena Vista | W 51-20 | 2-2 | 1-0 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #552 | #553 | — | @Loras | W 38-21 | 3-2 | 2-0 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #536 | #492 | — | Dubuque | L 27-56 | 3-3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #568 | #477 | Coe | 2 pm ET31% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #568 | #433 | @Wartburg | 3 pm ET9% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | @Nebraska Wesleyan | 3 pm ET80% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | Central College | 3 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Simpson College (IA), through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Simpson College (IA): a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Simpson College (IA) has won three of its last five.
6-4 over the last 10, and lost the last one.
Streak L1Last 5 · 3-2Last 10 · 6-4
Range of outcomes · Simpson College (IA) · 2026
Range of outcomes · Simpson College (IA) · 2026Simpson College (IA)’s most likely regular season is 4-6. 92% of outcomes land from 4-6 to 6-4.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
3 wins 8%; 4 wins 40%; 5 wins 39%; 6 wins 12%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor4-8Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base6-6Mid-table finish.
Ceiling9-3Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 3-3
Game feel67shootoutscombined pts / game2nd highest-scoring of 8 in the American Rivers
Heart rate0-0rarely closein one-score games (0 of 6)8th most one-score games of 8 in the American Rivers
Margin+3.2competitiveavg scoring margin3rd best margin of 8 in the American Rivers
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among American Rivers teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
The Storm of Indianola, Iowa, an American Rivers Conference program with a dozen league titles in its history, playing at Bill Buxton Stadium for a Methodist college that once counted George Washington Carver among its students.
Standard GapA historic Iowa Conference program whose championship years are mostly…
Simpson has a dozen conference championships and a famous alumnus in George Washington Carver, yet its football lives quietly in the Iowa small-college ranks.
Game day
The experience
The Storm of Indianola, Iowa, an American Rivers Conference program with a dozen league titles in its history, playing at Bill Buxton Stadium for a Methodist college that once counted George Washington Carver among its students.
Playoff path
Simpson College (IA) sits 4th in the American Rivers Conference and 125th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
American Rivers · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dubuque | 3-0 | 4-2 | 59.5 |
| 2 | Wartburg | 3-0 | 4-2 | 57.4 |
| 3 | Coe | 3-0 | 4-2 | 53.6 |
| 4 | Simpson (IA) | 2-1 | 3-3 | 50.0 |
| 5 | Central College | 1-2 | 3-3 | 52.6 |
| 6 | Loras | 0-3 | 2-4 | 44.6 |
| 7 | Buena Vista | 0-3 | 1-5 | 36.4 |
| 8 | Nebraska Wesleyan | 0-3 | 0-6 | 34.8 |
50.0 CFB Zeitgeist#125 of 245 D349.1 strength of schedule
Win the American Rivers Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 3-3
Signature win 52-0 over Crown; toughest day 27-56 against Dubuque.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site