Next game
at Martin Luther
Sat Oct 24 · 2 pm ET
MLC Bowl · series 4-3, won the last 3
Crown College 42% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Crown College
2-4Upper Midwest · Old National Bank Stadium · 1,400 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
L 12-27 at Greenville
Our model gave Crown College 28% before kickoff
The rest of the season
4 of 4 games under 70%, the hardest: Westminster (MO) 9%
Win out <1% · expect 1.3 of 4 more wins
Crown College's chance to win each game left, from our model: Martin Luther 42%, Northwestern (MN) 19%, Minnesota Morris 63%, Westminster (MO) 9%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at Martin Luther · our model 42% Crown College
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Crown College · 2026 schedule and results2-4Soft slateAverage opponent win rate 36%.Our rank entering each game: #624 to #648
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #624 | #660 | — | Hamline | L 21-31 | 0-1 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #633 | #572 | — | @Simpson (IA) | L 0-52 | 0-2 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #639 | #619 | — | Martin Luther | W 13-9 | 1-2 | 1-0 | |
| 4 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 5 | Oct 3 | #635 | #646 | — | @Minnesota Morris | W 24-23 | 2-2 | 2-0 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #643 | #604 | — | Westminster (MO) | L 14-30 | 2-3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #648 | #588 | — | @Greenville | L 12-27 | 2-4 | 2-2 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #649 | #644 | @Martin Luther | 2 pm ET42% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #649 | #561 | Northwestern (MN) | 2 pm ET19% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Minnesota Morris | 2 pm ET63% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @Westminster (MO) | 1 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Crown College, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Crown College: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Crown College has won two of its last five.
5-5 over the last 10, and lost the last two.
Streak L2Last 5 · 2-3Last 10 · 5-5
Range of outcomes · Crown College · 2026
Range of outcomes · Crown College · 2026Crown College’s most likely regular season is 3-7. 92% of outcomes land from 2-8 to 4-6.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
2 wins 16%; 3 wins 44%; 4 wins 33%; 5 wins 7%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor2-10Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base4-8Mid-table finish.
Ceiling7-5Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 2-4
Game feel43even gamescombined pts / game4th highest-scoring of 6 in the Upper Midwest
Heart rate2-0some dramain one-score games (2 of 6)4th most one-score games of 6 in the Upper Midwest
Margin-14.7outgunnedavg scoring margin5th best margin of 6 in the Upper Midwest
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among Upper Midwest teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
The Polars of St. Bonifacius, Minnesota, an evangelical Christian college that broke through as 2025 Upper Midwest Athletic Conference champions — small-school football arriving in the Minnesota countryside.
Standard GapA small faith-based program that finally reached the top of its…
Crown is a tiny Christian college in rural Minnesota that just won its conference and still has to prove every week that it belongs at the top.
Game day
The experience
The Polars of St. Bonifacius, Minnesota, an evangelical Christian college that broke through as 2025 Upper Midwest Athletic Conference champions — small-school football arriving in the Minnesota countryside.
Playoff path
Crown College sits 4th in the Upper Midwest Conference and 198th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
Upper Midwest · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northwestern (MN) | 3-0 | 3-3 | 47.8 |
| 2 | Westminster (MO) | 2-1 | 4-2 | 51.2 |
| 3 | Greenville | 2-1 | 3-3 | 47.5 |
| 4 | Crown | 2-2 | 2-4 | 38.9 |
| 5 | Martin Luther | 1-3 | 1-5 | 35.5 |
| 6 | Minnesota Morris | 0-3 | 1-5 | 32.3 |
| 7 | Finlandia University | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
38.9 CFB Zeitgeist#198 of 245 D342.8 strength of schedule
Win the Upper Midwest Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 2-4
Signature win 13-9 over Martin Luther; toughest day 0-52 against Simpson (IA).
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site