Next game
at Northwestern (MN)
Sat Oct 24 · 1 pm ET
Reynolds Field · series 1-5, last win 2025
Greenville University 32% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Greenville University
3-3Upper Midwest · Francis Field (IL) · 2,000 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
W 27-12 vs Crown
Our model gave Greenville University 72% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Three real tests left: Northwestern (MN) 32%, Westminster (MO) 36%, Martin Luther 68%
Win out 6% · expect 2.1 of 4 more wins
Greenville University's chance to win each game left, from our model: Northwestern (MN) 32%, Minnesota Morris 76%, Westminster (MO) 36%, Martin Luther 68%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at Northwestern (MN) · our model 32% Greenville University
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Greenville University · 2026 schedule and results3-3Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 46%.Our rank entering each game: #584 to #588
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #584 | #498 | — | @Lake Forest | L 14-77 | 0-1 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #584 | #555 | — | Lakeland | L 20-41 | 0-2 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #591 | #528 | — | @Lyon | W 33-32 | 1-2 | 0-0 | |
| 4 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 5 | Oct 3 | #587 | #627 | — | @Westminster (MO) | L 7-34 | 1-3 | 0-1 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #605 | #622 | — | Martin Luther | W 28-0 | 2-3 | 1-1 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #588 | #648 | — | Crown | W 27-12 | 3-3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #591 | #560 | @Northwestern (MN) | 1 pm ET32% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #591 | #665 | @Minnesota Morris | 1 pm ET76% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Westminster (MO) | 2 pm ET36% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @Martin Luther | 1 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Greenville University, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Greenville University: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Greenville University has won three of its last five.
4-6 over the last 10, and won the last two.
Streak W2Last 5 · 3-2Last 10 · 4-6
Range of outcomes · Greenville University · 2026
Range of outcomes · Greenville University · 2026Greenville University’s most likely regular season is 5-5. 91% of outcomes land from 4-6 to 6-4.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
3 wins 3%; 4 wins 21%; 5 wins 42%; 6 wins 28%; 7 wins 6%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor4-8Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base6-6Mid-table finish.
Ceiling9-3Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 3-3
Game feel54shootoutscombined pts / game2nd highest-scoring of 6 in the Upper Midwest
Heart rate1-0rarely closein one-score games (1 of 6)6th most one-score games of 6 in the Upper Midwest
Margin-11.2competitiveavg scoring margin3rd best margin of 6 in the Upper Midwest
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among Upper Midwest teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
Midwestern evangelical institution with resilient organizational culture—Greenville balances academics and athletic development with stable, if modest, football tradition.
Standard GapStable GLIAC mid-tier presence; no prominent eras or dominant years
Fans here believe greenville doesn't define itself by football ranking. The program serves the institutional mission precisely.
Game day
The experience
Midwestern evangelical institution with resilient organizational culture—Greenville balances academics and athletic development with stable, if modest, football tradition.
Playoff path
Greenville University sits 3rd in the Upper Midwest Conference and 139th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
Upper Midwest · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northwestern (MN) | 3-0 | 3-3 | 47.8 |
| 2 | Westminster (MO) | 2-1 | 4-2 | 51.2 |
| 3 | Greenville | 2-1 | 3-3 | 47.5 |
| 4 | Crown | 2-2 | 2-4 | 38.9 |
| 5 | Martin Luther | 1-3 | 1-5 | 35.5 |
| 6 | Minnesota Morris | 0-3 | 1-5 | 32.3 |
| 7 | Finlandia University | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
47.5 CFB Zeitgeist#139 of 245 D346.9 strength of schedule
Win the Upper Midwest Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 3-3
Signature win 28-0 over Martin Luther; toughest day 14-77 against Lake Forest.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site