Next game
vs Texas Lutheran
Sat Oct 24 · 5 pm ET
Pioneer Stadium · series 0-4, lost the last 4
Lyon College 11% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Lyon College
2-4Southern Collegiate Athletic · Pioneer Stadium · 1,500 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 10
W 38-31 at Austin
Our model gave Lyon College 64% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Three real tests left: Texas Lutheran 11%, Hendrix 26%, Centenary (LA) 55%
Win out 2% · expect 0.9 of 3 more wins
Lyon College's chance to win each game left, from our model: Texas Lutheran 11%, Centenary (LA) 55%, Hendrix 26%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line vs Texas Lutheran · our model 11% Lyon College
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 6
Schedule and results
Lyon College · 2026 schedule and results2-4Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 50%.Our rank entering each game: #520 to #584
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #520 | #517 | — | East Texas Baptist | L 7-58 | 0-1 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #529 | #506 | — | @Illinois College | W 21-14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #528 | #591 | — | Greenville | L 32-33 | 1-2 | 0-0 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #536 | #646 | — | @Westminster (MO) | L 17-35 | 1-3 | 0-0 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #555 | #480 | — | @Texas Lutheran | L 12-34 | 1-4 | 0-1 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #584 | #654 | — | @Austin | W 38-31 | 2-4 | 1-1 | |
| 7 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 8 | Oct 24 | #583 | #457 | Texas Lutheran | 5 pm ET11% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #583 | #639 | @Centenary (LA) | 7 pm ET55% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Hendrix | 2 pm ET26% to win | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Lyon College, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Lyon College: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Lyon College has won two of its last five.
3-7 over the last 10, and won the last one.
Streak W1Last 5 · 2-3Last 10 · 3-7
Range of outcomes · Lyon College · 2026
Range of outcomes · Lyon College · 2026Lyon College’s most likely regular season is 3-6. 98% of outcomes land from 2-7 to 4-5.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
2 wins 29%; 3 wins 50%; 4 wins 19%; 5 wins 2%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor2-10Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base4-8Mid-table finish.
Ceiling7-5Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 2-4
Game feel55even gamescombined pts / game4th highest-scoring of 5 in the Southern Collegiate Athletic
Heart rate2-1some dramain one-score games (3 of 6)2nd most one-score games of 5 in the Southern Collegiate Athletic
Margin-13.0competitiveavg scoring margin2nd best margin of 5 in the Southern Collegiate Athletic
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among Southern Collegiate Athletic teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
The Scots of Batesville, an Arkansas college that brought back football in 2013 after a 62-year hiatus and recently joined NCAA Division III in the SCAC, playing on the new on-campus Bad Boy Stadium.
Standard GapA reborn program writing a new chapter — the work is rebuilding from…
Plenty wrote off a tiny Arkansas college reviving football after 62 years, and the Scots are out to prove the program belongs back on Saturdays.
Game day
The experience
The Scots of Batesville, an Arkansas college that brought back football in 2013 after a 62-year hiatus and recently joined NCAA Division III in the SCAC, playing on the new on-campus Bad Boy Stadium.
Playoff path
Lyon College sits 3rd in the Southern Collegiate Athletic Conference and 167th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
Southern Collegiate Athletic · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Texas Lutheran | 2-0 | 5-1 | 60.9 |
| 2 | Centenary (LA) | 2-0 | 2-4 | 41.5 |
| 3 | Lyon | 1-1 | 2-4 | 43.5 |
| 4 | Austin | 0-4 | 1-6 | 33.1 |
| 5 | Gallaudet | 0-0 | 0-5 | 25.3 |
43.5 CFB Zeitgeist#167 of 245 D348.4 strength of schedule
Win the Southern Collegiate Athletic Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 2-4
Signature win 21-14 over Illinois College; toughest day 7-58 against East Texas Baptist.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site