Next game
vs Minnesota Morris
Sat Oct 24 · 1 pm ET
Blue Jay Stadium · series 0-7, lost the last 7
Westminster College (MO) 93% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Westminster College (MO)
4-2Upper Midwest · Blue Jay Stadium · 2,000 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
L 14-30 vs Northwestern (MN)
Our model gave Westminster College (MO) 87% before kickoff
The rest of the season
One real test left: Greenville 64%
Win out 45% · expect 3.3 of 4 more wins
Westminster College (MO)'s chance to win each game left, from our model: Minnesota Morris 93%, Martin Luther 83%, Greenville 64%, Crown 91%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line vs Minnesota Morris · our model 93% Westminster College (MO)
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Westminster College (MO) · 2026 schedule and results4-2Soft slateAverage opponent win rate 30%.Our rank entering each game: #647 to #584
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #647 | #668 | — | @Manchester | L 10-17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #653 | #654 | — | @Eureka | W 41-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 4 | Sep 26 | #646 | #536 | — | Lyon | W 35-17 | 2-1 | 0-0 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #627 | #587 | — | Greenville | W 34-7 | 3-1 | 1-0 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #604 | #643 | — | @Crown | W 30-14 | 4-1 | 2-0 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #584 | #589 | — | Northwestern (MN) | L 14-30 | 4-2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #600 | #665 | Minnesota Morris | 1 pm ET93% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #600 | #644 | @Martin Luther | 1 pm ET83% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | @Greenville | 2 pm ET64% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | Crown | 1 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Westminster College (MO), through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Westminster College (MO): a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Westminster College (MO) has won four of its last five.
6-4 over the last 10, and lost the last one.
Streak L1Last 5 · 4-1Last 10 · 6-4
Range of outcomes · Westminster College (MO) · 2026
Range of outcomes · Westminster College (MO) · 2026Westminster College (MO)’s most likely regular season is 8-2. 99% of outcomes land from 6-4 to 8-2.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
5 wins 1%; 6 wins 12%; 7 wins 42%; 8 wins 45%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor6-6Competitive but likely outside bracket contention.
Base8-4Conference title contender. Bracket bid realistic.
Ceiling10-2Deep playoff run. Program-defining year.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 4-2
Game feel42rock fightscombined pts / game5th highest-scoring of 6 in the Upper Midwest
Heart rate0-1rarely closein one-score games (1 of 6)5th most one-score games of 6 in the Upper Midwest
Margin+13.2comfortableavg scoring margin1st best margin of 6 in the Upper Midwest
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among Upper Midwest teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
The Blue Jays of Fulton, a small Missouri liberal-arts college — the campus where Churchill gave his 'Iron Curtain' speech — playing Division III football in the Upper Midwest Conference.
Standard GapA historic little college whose campus fame is a 1946 Churchill…
Westminster's campus is where Churchill drew the Iron Curtain on the map, and its football team plays in front of crowds and coverage that barely register anywhere.
Game day
The experience
The Blue Jays of Fulton, a small Missouri liberal-arts college, the campus where Churchill gave his 'Iron Curtain' speech, playing Division III football in the Upper Midwest Conference.
Playoff path
Westminster College (MO) sits 2nd in the Upper Midwest Conference and 117th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
Upper Midwest · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northwestern (MN) | 3-0 | 3-3 | 47.8 |
| 2 | Westminster (MO) | 2-1 | 4-2 | 51.2 |
| 3 | Greenville | 2-1 | 3-3 | 47.5 |
| 4 | Crown | 2-2 | 2-4 | 38.9 |
| 5 | Martin Luther | 1-3 | 1-5 | 35.5 |
| 6 | Minnesota Morris | 0-3 | 1-5 | 32.3 |
| 7 | Finlandia University | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
51.2 CFB Zeitgeist#117 of 245 D340.8 strength of schedule
Win the Upper Midwest Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 4-2
Signature win 41-0 over Eureka; toughest day 14-30 against Northwestern (MN).
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site