Next game
vs Greenville
Sat Oct 24 · 1 pm ET
Reynolds Field · series 5-1, last win 2025
Northwestern College (Minnesota) 68% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Northwestern College (Minnesota)
3-3Upper Midwest · Reynolds Field · 1,800 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
W 30-14 at Westminster (MO)
Our model gave Northwestern College (Minnesota) 13% before kickoff
The rest of the season
One real test left: Greenville 68%
Win out 41% · expect 3.2 of 4 more wins
Northwestern College (Minnesota)'s chance to win each game left, from our model: Greenville 68%, Crown 81%, Martin Luther 86%, Minnesota Morris 86%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line vs Greenville · our model 68% Northwestern College (Minnesota)
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Northwestern College (Minnesota) · 2026 schedule and results3-3Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 44%.Our rank entering each game: #563 to #589
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #563 | #523 | — | @Claremont Mudd Scripps | L 14-19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #558 | #467 | — | Central College | L 27-51 | 0-2 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #564 | #568 | — | Loras | L 13-49 | 0-3 | 0-0 | |
| 4 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 5 | Oct 3 | #580 | #623 | — | @Martin Luther | W 22-16 | 1-3 | 1-0 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #585 | #652 | — | Minnesota Morris | W 46-14 | 2-3 | 2-0 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #589 | #584 | — | @Westminster (MO) | W 30-14 | 3-3 | 3-0 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #560 | #591 | Greenville | 1 pm ET68% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #561 | #649 | @Crown | 2 pm ET81% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Martin Luther | 2 pm ET86% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @Minnesota Morris | 2 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Northwestern College (Minnesota), through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Northwestern College (Minnesota): a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Northwestern College (Minnesota) has won three of its last five.
6-4 over the last 10, and won the last three.
Streak W3Last 5 · 3-2Last 10 · 6-4
Range of outcomes · Northwestern College (Minnesota) · 2026
Range of outcomes · Northwestern College (Minnesota) · 2026Northwestern College (Minnesota)’s most likely regular season is 6-4. 98% of outcomes land from 5-5 to 7-3.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
4 wins 2%; 5 wins 15%; 6 wins 42%; 7 wins 41%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor4-8Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base6-6Mid-table finish.
Ceiling9-3Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 3-3
Game feel52even gamescombined pts / game3rd highest-scoring of 6 in the Upper Midwest
Heart rate1-1some dramain one-score games (2 of 6)3rd most one-score games of 6 in the Upper Midwest
Margin-1.8comfortableavg scoring margin2nd best margin of 6 in the Upper Midwest
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among Upper Midwest teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
Evangelical Minnesota program (2001) that joined D3 in growth phase—a young institution building athletic identity in UMAC with modest but stable competitive presence.
Standard Gap2001 college founding with zero program vs. stable UMAC mid-tier…
Fans here believe nobody expected an evangelical college founded in 2001 to build real D3 football. Northwestern is building institutional identity from zero—no predecessors to prove anything.
Game day
The experience
Evangelical Minnesota program (2001) that joined D3 in growth phase—a young institution building athletic identity in UMAC with modest but stable competitive presence.
Playoff path
Northwestern College (Minnesota) sits 1st in the Upper Midwest Conference and 134th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
Upper Midwest · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northwestern (MN) | 3-0 | 3-3 | 47.8 |
| 2 | Westminster (MO) | 2-1 | 4-2 | 51.2 |
| 3 | Greenville | 2-1 | 3-3 | 47.5 |
| 4 | Crown | 2-2 | 2-4 | 38.9 |
| 5 | Martin Luther | 1-3 | 1-5 | 35.5 |
| 6 | Minnesota Morris | 0-3 | 1-5 | 32.3 |
| 7 | Finlandia University | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
47.8 CFB Zeitgeist#134 of 245 D346.0 strength of schedule
Win the Upper Midwest Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 3-3
Signature win 46-14 over Minnesota Morris; toughest day 13-49 against Loras.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
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