Next game
at Chapman
Sat Oct 24 · 10 pm ET
Ernie Chapman Stadium · series 1-5, lost the last 5
Claremont-Mudd-Scripps College 21% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Claremont-Mudd-Scripps College
5-1So. Cal. · Fritz B. Burns Stadium · 3,000 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
W 39-0 vs Whittier
Our model gave Claremont-Mudd-Scripps College 90% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Two real tests left: Chapman 21%, Redlands 66%
Win out 13% · expect 1.8 of 3 more wins
Claremont-Mudd-Scripps College's chance to win each game left, from our model: Chapman 21%, Redlands 66%, Azusa Pacific 94%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at Chapman · our model 21% Claremont-Mudd-Scripps College
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Claremont-Mudd-Scripps College · 2026 schedule and results5-1Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 42%.Our rank entering each game: #523 to #540
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #523 | #563 | — | Northwestern (MN) | W 19-14 | 1-0 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 3 | Sep 19 | #532 | #551 | — | George Fox | L 25-42 | 1-1 | 0-0 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #541 | #544 | — | @Pomona Pitzer | W 22-10 | 2-1 | 1-0 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #540 | #554 | — | Cal Lutheran | W 24-22 | 3-1 | 2-0 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #543 | #594 | — | @La Verne | W 27-18 | 4-1 | 3-0 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #540 | #654 | — | Whittier | W 39-0 | 5-1 | 4-0 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #523 | #440 | @Chapman | 10 pm ET21% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #524 | #565 | @Redlands | 10:05 pm ET66% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Azusa Pacific | 8 pm ET94% to win | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Claremont-Mudd-Scripps College, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Claremont-Mudd-Scripps College: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Claremont-Mudd-Scripps College has won four of its last five.
7-3 over the last 10, and won the last four.
Streak W4Last 5 · 4-1Last 10 · 7-3
Range of outcomes · Claremont-Mudd-Scripps College · 2026
Range of outcomes · Claremont-Mudd-Scripps College · 2026Claremont-Mudd-Scripps College’s most likely regular season is 7-2. 99% of outcomes land from 6-3 to 8-1.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
5 wins 1%; 6 wins 28%; 7 wins 57%; 8 wins 13%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor8-4Competitive but likely outside bracket contention.
Base10-2Conference title contender. Bracket bid realistic.
Ceiling11-1Deep playoff run. Program-defining year.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 5-1
Game feel44even gamescombined pts / game5th highest-scoring of 8 in the So. Cal.
Heart rate2-0white-knucklein one-score games (2 of 6)2nd most one-score games of 8 in the So. Cal.
Margin+8.3competitiveavg scoring margin3rd best margin of 8 in the So. Cal.
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among So. Cal. teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
The Stags of Claremont, California, a combined-college SCIAC program defined by the Sixth Street Rivalry — the season-ending grudge match against Pomona-Pitzer, fought for the Sixth Street Trophy a short walk across the street.
Standard GapAn elite-academic combined program whose football identity is bound up…
The Stags play one of the great unsung rivalries in the country across Sixth Street, and almost no one outside Southern California knows it exists.
Game day
The experience
The Stags of Claremont, California, a combined-college SCIAC program defined by the Sixth Street Rivalry — the season-ending grudge match against Pomona-Pitzer, fought for the Sixth Street Trophy a short walk across the street.
Playoff path
Claremont-Mudd-Scripps College sits 2nd in the So. Cal. Conference and 59th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — on the at-large bubble — the conference title is the surer route.
So. Cal. · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chapman | 4-0 | 5-1 | 62.6 |
| 2 | Claremont Mudd Scripps | 4-0 | 5-1 | 60.0 |
| 3 | Pomona Pitzer | 3-1 | 4-2 | 55.4 |
| 4 | Cal Lutheran | 2-2 | 3-3 | 47.6 |
| 5 | Redlands | 2-2 | 2-4 | 43.5 |
| 6 | La Verne | 1-4 | 2-4 | 43.0 |
| 7 | Azusa Pacific | 1-4 | 1-4 | 34.8 |
| 8 | Whittier | 0-4 | 1-5 | 32.0 |
60.0 CFB Zeitgeist#59 of 245 D346.3 strength of schedule1 quality win
Win the So. Cal. Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 5-1
Signature win 39-0 over Whittier; toughest day 25-42 against George Fox.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site