Next game
vs Azusa Pacific
Sat Oct 24 · 10 pm ET
Merritt Field
Pomona-Pitzer Sagehens 94% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Pomona-Pitzer Sagehens
4-2So. Cal. · Merritt Field · 4,000 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
W 14-13 at Cal Lutheran
Our model gave Pomona-Pitzer Sagehens 37% before kickoff
The rest of the season
One real test left: Chapman 20%
Win out 14% · expect 1.9 of 3 more wins
Pomona-Pitzer Sagehens's chance to win each game left, from our model: Azusa Pacific 94%, Chapman 20%, Redlands 75%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line vs Azusa Pacific · our model 94% Pomona-Pitzer Sagehens
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Pomona-Pitzer Sagehens · 2026 schedule and results4-2Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 50%.Our rank entering each game: #535 to #529
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #535 | #661 | — | Willamette | W 42-23 | 1-0 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 3 | Sep 19 | #544 | #503 | — | @Lewis & Clark | L 28-49 | 1-1 | 0-0 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #544 | #541 | — | Claremont Mudd Scripps | L 10-22 | 1-2 | 0-1 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #560 | #596 | — | La Verne | W 24-6 | 2-2 | 1-1 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #557 | #618 | — | @Whittier | W 28-0 | 3-2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #529 | #543 | — | @Cal Lutheran | W 14-13 | 4-2 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #529 | #629 | Azusa Pacific | 10 pm ET94% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #529 | #439 | @Chapman | 4 pm ET20% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Redlands | 10 pm ET75% to win | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Pomona-Pitzer Sagehens, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Pomona-Pitzer Sagehens: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Pomona-Pitzer Sagehens has won three of its last five.
6-4 over the last 10, and won the last three.
Streak W3Last 5 · 3-2Last 10 · 6-4
Range of outcomes · Pomona-Pitzer Sagehens · 2026
Range of outcomes · Pomona-Pitzer Sagehens · 2026Pomona-Pitzer Sagehens’ most likely regular season is 6-3. 99% of outcomes land from 5-4 to 7-2.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
4 wins 1%; 5 wins 23%; 6 wins 62%; 7 wins 14%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor6-6Competitive but likely outside bracket contention.
Base8-4Conference title contender. Bracket bid realistic.
Ceiling10-2Deep playoff run. Program-defining year.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 4-2
Game feel43rock fightscombined pts / game7th highest-scoring of 8 in the So. Cal.
Heart rate1-0some dramain one-score games (1 of 6)4th most one-score games of 8 in the So. Cal.
Margin+5.5competitiveavg scoring margin4th best margin of 8 in the So. Cal.
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among So. Cal. teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
Pomona-Pitzer is a joint athletic consortium of two Claremont Colleges whose Sagehens compete with intellectual pride in the Sixth Street Rivalry — the gold standard of small-school SCIAC football.
Standard GapTwo of the Claremont Colleges' most prestigious institutions united in…
Fans here believe no chip — Pomona-Pitzer's identity is rooted in academic excellence and balanced competition.
Game day
The experience
Pomona-Pitzer is a joint athletic consortium of two Claremont Colleges whose Sagehens compete with intellectual pride in the Sixth Street Rivalry — the gold standard of small-school SCIAC football.
Playoff path
Pomona-Pitzer Sagehens sits 3rd in the So. Cal. Conference and 90th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
So. Cal. · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chapman | 4-0 | 5-1 | 62.6 |
| 2 | Claremont Mudd Scripps | 4-0 | 5-1 | 60.0 |
| 3 | Pomona Pitzer | 3-1 | 4-2 | 55.4 |
| 4 | Cal Lutheran | 2-2 | 3-3 | 47.6 |
| 5 | Redlands | 2-2 | 2-4 | 43.5 |
| 6 | La Verne | 1-4 | 2-4 | 43.0 |
| 7 | Azusa Pacific | 1-4 | 1-4 | 34.8 |
| 8 | Whittier | 0-4 | 1-5 | 32.0 |
55.4 CFB Zeitgeist#90 of 245 D348.0 strength of schedule
Win the So. Cal. Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 4-2
Signature win 28-0 over Whittier; toughest day 28-49 against Lewis & Clark.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site