CFB Zeitgeist
June 22, 2026 · Dead Period · Heritage Window · 2026 Outlook

Willamette

1-9 2025 final

The Bearcats of Salem, Oregon, a founding member of the Northwest Conference whose football history runs more than a century deep and whose every fall turns on the rivalry with Linfield.

Bearcats country waits.

Record
1-9
win% .100
Conference
8th of 8
Northwest · 0-8
Index Rating
32.7
D3 #226 of 240
Playoff Path
Win the league
Dead PeriodOffseasonPatientPost-loss — diagnostic
The Long Wait·Offseason

The Bearcats of Salem, Oregon, a founding member of the Northwest Conference whose football history runs more than a century deep and whose every fall turns on the rivalry with Linfield.

Standard GapAn old, proud Northwest program whose tradition outweighs its recent pla…

Reclaim the Northwest Conference and beat Linfield when it matters most — proving the oldest university in the West still plays championship football.

low signal
Read the full program story ↓

Offseason

69 days

until kickoff · Sun Aug 30 · 17:00 UTC

Act I

The 2026 Outlook

DIVISION III · THE PATH TO THE STAGG BOWL

Willamette sits 8th in the Northwest Conference and 226th of 240 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.

Northwest · 2025
TeamConfOverallIndex
1Whitworth7-08-361.2
2Linfield College6-17-259.9
3Pacific Lutheran5-26-451.6
4Lewis & Clark College5-46-452.0
5NEWBERG4-44-644.8
6Pacific (OR)3-53-740.6
7Puget Sound1-71-933.5
8Willamette0-81-932.7
32.7 CFB Zeitgeist#226 of 240 D347.0 strength of schedule

Win the Northwest Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.

Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2025 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
THE 2025 SEASON · 1-9
L 17-41 vs Pomona Pitzer · Wk 2-24Pomona PL 0-42 vs Pacific (OR) · Wk 3-42Pacific W 29-14 at La Verne · Wk 4+15La VerneL 28-31 at Pacific Lutheran · Wk 6-3Pacific L 20-28 vs Lewis & Clark College · Wk 7-8Lewis & L 28-45 at Puget Sound · Wk 8-17Puget SoL 14-35 at Pacific (OR) · Wk 9-21Pacific L 9-31 vs NEWBERG · Wk 10-22NEWBERGL 0-29 vs Whitworth · Wk 11-29WhitwortL 19-65 at Linfield College · Wk 12-46Linfield

Signature win 29-14 over La Verne; toughest day 19-65 against Linfield College.

The Pulse on Willamette

Quiet · dead period heritage · signal ramps back in camp
Bearcats country waits.

What moved it — offseason · last 30 days

June Dead-period quiet — official-visit + heritage window
Camp Fall camp ~40 days out
"Go Willamette" — Willamette fanbase · recurring line
6 mentions · awaiting signal

Aspiration Ladder

Brief Part III §33.4 · Willamette

Winning record

The baseline for a successful season.

Conference title

The primary goal and national bracket path.

32-team bracket qualifierLocked

One of 32 national tournament entries.

Stagg BowlLocked

The Division III national championship game.

Willamette · Next-Season Outcome Band

Floor / Base / Ceiling

floor0-12Rebuild year. Below .500.
base1-11Mid-table finish.
ceiling4-8Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.

Variance assumed at ±2 wins from last-season record. Replace with the season-path projection once preview data is built.

Act II

Who We Are

Home-Field Advantage · Willamette · 2018-present

Above-Average

15% home win rate vs 10% on the road. margin runs +7.5 better at home.

Home3-16Away2-17
Act III

Last Season Reviewed

2025 season · tap to expand

Recent Form · last 10 games

Hibernating

Zero of five. Reset territory.

Streak L7Last 5 · 0-5Last 10 · 1-9

Schedule Strength · Willamette · 2025

Balanced

Average opponent win rate 45% across 9 finalized games. Balanced slate across the conference slate.

Opp Win %0.457

Moment of the Year · Willamette · 2025

Won 29-14 at La Verne

Week 4 of 2025. The single game that defined the season's arc.

Decisive Margin

From the Archive — Willamette

2024: Lost 7-28 vs NEWBERG

In 2024, the program lost 7-28 vs NEWBERG — a stinging home result, 21 points either way.

Go Bearcats.