Next game
at Willamette
Sat Oct 24 · 4 pm ET
McCulloch Stadium · series 5-1, last win 2025
Pacific University 43% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Pacific University
0-6Northwest · Hanson Stadium · 1,100 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
L 14-30 vs Pacific Lutheran
Our model gave Pacific University 21% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Underdogs in all 4 games left, best shot: Willamette 43%
Win out <1% · expect 0.7 of 4 more wins
Pacific University's chance to win each game left, from our model: Willamette 43%, Puget Sound 16%, George Fox 7%, Lewis & Clark <1%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at Willamette · our model 43% Pacific University
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Pacific University · 2026 schedule and results0-6Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 53%.Our rank entering each game: #539 to #650
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 4 | #539 | #459 | — | Howard Payne | L 0-49 | 0-1 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #539 | #660 | — | Willamette | L 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #557 | #627 | — | @Wisconsin Stevens Point | L 13-48 | 0-3 | 0-1 | |
| 4 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 5 | Oct 3 | #579 | #452 | — | @Whitworth | L 6-41 | 0-4 | 0-2 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #642 | #440 | — | Linfield | L 3-42 | 0-5 | 0-3 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #650 | #522 | — | Pacific Lutheran | L 14-30 | 0-6 | 0-4 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #653 | #648 | @Willamette | 4 pm ET43% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #654 | #615 | Puget Sound | 1 pm ET16% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | George Fox | 4 pm ET7% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @Lewis & Clark | 4 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Pacific University, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Pacific University: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Pacific University has lost eight straight.
2-8 over the last 10, and lost the last eight.
Streak L8Last 5 · 0-5Last 10 · 2-8
Range of outcomes · Pacific University · 2026
Range of outcomes · Pacific University · 2026Pacific University’s most likely regular season is 1-9. 99% of outcomes land from 0-10 to 2-8.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
0 wins 44%; 1 wins 46%; 2 wins 10%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor0-12Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base0-12Mid-table finish.
Ceiling3-9Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 0-6
Game feel42even gamescombined pts / game6th highest-scoring of 8 in the Northwest
Heart rate0-1some dramain one-score games (1 of 6)6th most one-score games of 8 in the Northwest
Margin-29.5outgunnedavg scoring margin8th best margin of 8 in the Northwest
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among Northwest teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
Pacific University is an NWC founding member whose Boxers have been playing football since 1894 — a small Oregon school with deep roots in collegiate competition.
Standard GapA historic small college competing in NWC with steady pride, measuring…
Fans here believe no chip — Pacific plays for the game and the conference.
Game day
The experience
Pacific University is an NWC founding member whose Boxers have been playing football since 1894 — a small Oregon school with deep roots in collegiate competition.
Playoff path
Pacific University sits 8th in the Northwest Conference and 233rd of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
Northwest · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lewis & Clark | 4-0 | 5-0 | 68.6 |
| 2 | Linfield | 3-0 | 4-1 | 65.0 |
| 3 | Whitworth | 2-1 | 3-2 | 59.3 |
| 4 | Pacific Lutheran | 2-1 | 3-3 | 50.1 |
| 5 | Puget Sound | 2-2 | 2-3 | 50.2 |
| 6 | Willamette | 1-3 | 1-5 | 36.8 |
| 7 | George Fox | 0-3 | 2-3 | 52.0 |
| 8 | Pacific (OR) | 0-4 | 0-6 | 32.0 |
32.0 CFB Zeitgeist#233 of 245 D353.2 strength of schedule
Win the Northwest Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 0-6
Signature win 3-6 over Willamette; toughest day 0-49 against Howard Payne.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site