American Southwest · Gordon Wood Stadium · 7,500 seats
Next game
Sat Oct 31 · 2 pm ET
Gordon Wood Stadium · series 0-11, lost the last 11
1939Each tick is a meeting: up is a win for Howard Payne University, down a lossnow
Howard Payne University 21% to win · our ratings after 5 games
Last game · Sat Oct 17
Our model gave Howard Payne University 87% before kickoff
The rest of the season
One real test left: Hardin Simmons 21%
Win out 11% · expect 1.7 of 3 more wins
Howard Payne University's chance to win each game left, from our model: Hardin Simmons 21%, McMurry 70%, East Texas Baptist 76%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 4 | #459 | #539 | — | @Pacific (OR) | W 49-0 | 1-0 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 3 | Sep 19 | #457 | @Wayland Baptist | 5 pm ET2% to win | |||||
| 4 | Sep 26 | #457 | #571 | — | @Simpson (IA) | W 52-28 | 2-0 | 0-0 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #458 | — | — | Nelson (TX) | W 44-16 | 3-0 | 0-0 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #435 | #436 | — | @Mary Hardin Baylor | L 10-33 | 3-1 | 0-1 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #434 | — | — | @Schreiner | W 41-21 | 4-1 | 0-1 | |
| 8 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #422 | #347 | Hardin Simmons | 2 pm ET21% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | @McMurry | 2 pm ET70% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | East Texas Baptist | 2 pm ET | ||||||
Win chances are our model for Howard Payne University, through 5 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Howard Payne University: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Live
Live now
at Wayland Baptist · Sat Sep 19 · 5 pm ET
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
6-4 over the last 10, and won the last one.
Range of outcomes · Howard Payne University · 2026
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
4 wins 5%; 5 wins 32%; 6 wins 50%; 7 wins 12%Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 5 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
What it is like to watch them2026 · 4-1
Measured from 5 games · ranks are among American Southwest teams the same season
Howard Payne is the Brownwood, Texas Baptist college competing in Division III, navigating a transition year after coaching change with local pride intact.
Fans here believe no chip — Howard Payne plays for the institution and the city.
Howard Payne is the Brownwood, Texas Baptist college competing in Division III, navigating a transition year after coaching change with local pride intact.
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hardin Simmons | 2-0 | 5-0 | 73.4 |
| 2 | Mary Hardin Baylor | 1-0 | 5-1 | 67.5 |
| 3 | Howard Payne | 0-1 | 4-1 | 63.2 |
| 4 | McMurry | 0-1 | 2-3 | 52.0 |
| 5 | East Texas Baptist | 0-1 | 3-4 | 51.3 |
Win the American Southwest Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Signature win 49-0 over Pacific (OR); toughest day 10-33 against Mary Hardin Baylor.
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
Range of outcomes · Howard Payne University · 2026