CFB Zeitgeist
June 22, 2026 · Dead Period · Heritage Window · 2026 Outlook

Mary Hardin-Baylor University

7-3 2025 final

Mary Hardin-Baylor is the Texas Division III dynasty that won national championships in 2018 and 2021, cementing itself as a title contender every year.

The Crusaders hold the line.

Record
7-3
win% .700
Conference
2nd of 4
American Southwest · 5-1
Index Rating
61.5
D3 #41 of 240
Playoff Path
#1 alternate
Dead PeriodOffseasonPatientPost-win — basking
The Long Wait·Offseason

Mary Hardin-Baylor is the Texas Division III dynasty that won national championships in 2018 and 2021, cementing itself as a title contender every year.

Title DroughtSince 2021 · 4 yrs

Mary Hardin-Baylor went 9-3 in 2025 (5-1 ASC, tied for 1st place) under head coach Larry Harmon (4th year). The Crusaders won or tied for the ASC championship and remain one of the strongest programs in Division III football. The…

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Offseason

69 days

until kickoff · Sun Aug 30 · 17:00 UTC

Act I

The 2026 Outlook

DIVISION III · THE PATH TO THE STAGG BOWL

Mary Hardin-Baylor University sits 2nd in the American Southwest Conference and 41st of 240 in the CFB Zeitgeist — on the at-large bubble — the conference title is the surer route.

American Southwest · 2025
TeamConfOverallIndex
1Hardin-Simmons5-19-265.2
2Mary Hardin-Baylor5-17-361.5
3Howard Payne2-44-650.7
4East Texas Baptist University0-64-645.6
61.5 CFB Zeitgeist#41 of 240 D355.3 strength of schedule1 quality win

Win the American Southwest Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.

Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2025 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
THE 2025 SEASON · 7-3
W 30-23 vs Bethel University Tennessee · Wk 2+7Bethel UL 6-26 vs Wisconsin-Whitewater · Wk 4-20WisconsiL 7-21 at Mars Hill · Wk 5-14Mars HilW 42-28 at East Texas Baptist University · Wk 6+14East TexL 7-34 at Hardin-Simmons · Wk 7-27Hardin-SW 28-19 vs Texas Wesleyan · Wk 8+9Texas WeW 41-17 vs Howard Payne · Wk 9+24Howard PW 62-14 vs East Texas Baptist University · Wk 10+48East TexW 21-17 vs Hardin-Simmons · Wk 11+4Hardin-SW 65-9 at Howard Payne · Wk 12+56Howard P

Signature win 65-9 over Howard Payne; toughest day 7-34 against Hardin-Simmons.

The Pulse on Mary Hardin-Baylor University

Quiet · dead period heritage · signal ramps back in camp
The Crusaders hold the line.

What moved it — offseason · last 30 days

June Dead-period quiet — official-visit + heritage window
Camp Fall camp ~40 days out
"Go Mary Hardin-Baylor" — Mary Hardin-Baylor University fanbase · recurring line
0 mentions · awaiting signal

Aspiration Ladder

Brief Part III §33.4 · Mary Hardin-Baylor University

Winning record

The baseline for a successful season.

Conference title

The primary goal and national bracket path.

32-team bracket qualifierLocked

One of 32 national tournament entries.

Stagg BowlLocked

The Division III national championship game.

Mary Hardin-Baylor University · Next-Season Outcome Band

Floor / Base / Ceiling

floor5-7Rebuild year. Below .500.
base7-5Mid-table finish.
ceiling10-2Deep playoff run. Program-defining year.

Variance assumed at ±2 wins from last-season record. Replace with the season-path projection once preview data is built.

Act II

Who We Are

Home-Field Advantage · Mary Hardin-Baylor University · 2018-present

Elite

85% home win rate vs 62% on the road. margin runs +15.6 better at home.

Home18-3Away15-9
Act III

Last Season Reviewed

2025 season · tap to expand

Recent Form · last 10 games

Hot

Five straight. The momentum tier on every blog right now.

Streak W5Last 5 · 5-0Last 10 · 7-3

Schedule Strength · Mary Hardin-Baylor University · 2025

Soft

Average opponent win rate 40% across 7 finalized games. Lighter schedule — the committee weighs wins against strength of field.

Opp Win %0.400

Moment of the Year · Mary Hardin-Baylor University · 2025

Won 42-28 at East Texas Baptist University

Week 6 of 2025. The single game that defined the season's arc.

Decisive Margin

From the Archive — Mary Hardin-Baylor University

2022: Won 54-0 vs Huntingdon College (AL)

In 2022, the program won 54-0 vs Huntingdon College (AL) — a blowout home result that left the 54-point margin on the books.

Go Crusaders.