Hardin-Simmons University · Next-Season Outcome Band2025
Three straight ASC titles
Hardin-Simmons wins its third consecutive American Southwest Conference championship
Hardin-Simmons University9-2D3 TOP 25 #19Hope-Doping·Offseason
Hardin-Simmons is the West Texas Baptist football power that has won three consecutive ASC titles (2023–2025) and rebuilt into a championship contender.
Title DroughtSince 2022 · 3 yrs
Fans here believe no chip — Hardin-Simmons is playing with the pride of a winning program and wants to stay on top.
low signal
The Cowboys hold the line.
Hardin-Simmons University · Next-Season Outcome Band
Floor / Base / Ceiling
Floor 7-5
Base 9-3
Ceiling 12-0
floor7-5Competitive but likely outside bracket contention.
base9-3Conference title contender. Bracket bid realistic.
ceiling12-0Deep playoff run. Program-defining year.
Variance assumed at ±2 wins from last-season record. Replace with the season-path projection once preview data is built.
Recent Form · last 10 games
Mixed
Three of five. Trending up, not yet hot.
Streak L1Last 5 · 3-2Last 10 · 8-2
The forecast
Opens Sep 5
vs Chapman · at home
Game Week
11 days
until kickoff · vs Chapman · Sat Sep 5 · 17:00 UTC
The experience
Hardin-Simmons is the West Texas Baptist football power that has won three consecutive ASC titles (2023–2025) and rebuilt into a championship contender.
DIVISION III · THE PATH TO THE STAGG BOWL
Hardin-Simmons University sits 1st in the American Southwest Conference and 23rd of 240 in the CFB Zeitgeist — in the projected field with a seedable rating.
American Southwest · 2025
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hardin Simmons | 5-1 | 9-2 | 65.2 |
| 2 | Mary Hardin Baylor | 5-1 | 7-3 | 61.5 |
| 3 | Howard Payne | 2-4 | 4-6 | 50.7 |
| 4 | East Texas Baptist University | 0-6 | 4-6 | 45.6 |
65.2 CFB Zeitgeist#23 of 240 D355.4 strength of schedule2 quality wins
Win the American Southwest Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2025 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
THE 2025 SEASON · 9-2
Signature win 69-14 over Howard Payne; toughest day 24-34 against Trinity University TX.
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
The Pulse on Hardin-Simmons University
—
The Cowboys hold the line.
What moved it — fall camp · last 14 days
Camp
Fall camp open — install + scrimmage cycle
ongoing
"Go Cowboys."
— Hardin-Simmons University fanbase · recurring line
0 mentions · awaiting signal
Player stats — 2025 season
No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.
Hardin-Simmons University · 2025 schedule & results9-2Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 46%.
| Wk | Date | Us | Opp | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sep 7 | — | — | — | @Chapman | W 37–30 | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| 3 | Sep 13 | #427 | #457 | — | McMurry | W 24–19 | 2-0 | 0-0 |
| 4 | Sep 20 | #438 | — | — | Louisiana Christian | W 52–17 | 3-0 | 0-0 |
| 6 | Oct 4 | #421 | #457 | — | Howard Payne | W 69–14 | 4-0 | 1-0 |
| 7 | Oct 11 | #400 | #431 | — | Mary Hardin Baylor | W 34–7 | 5-0 | 2-0 |
| 8 | Oct 18 | #360 | #477 | — | @East Texas Baptist University | W 34–16 | 6-0 | 3-0 |
| 9 | Oct 25 | #337 | — | — | Southwestern Assemblies Of God | W 68–14 | 7-0 | 3-0 |
| 10 | Nov 1 | #294 | #476 | — | @Howard Payne | W 54–24 | 8-0 | 4-0 |
| 11 | Nov 8 | #290 | #375 | — | @Mary Hardin Baylor | L 17–21 | 8-1 | 4-1 |
| 12 | Nov 15 | #305 | #528 | — | East Texas Baptist University | W 63–14 | 9-1 | 5-1 |
| Bowl Season | ||||||||
| 14 | Nov 29 | #309 | #424 | — | @Trinity University TX | L 24–34 | 9-2 | 5-1 |
Historical echo
Hardin-Simmons University’s slide has precedent — and the closest programs clawed back.
Programs whose stature fell in the same shape. The grey line is their decline; the color is what came next for them.
Temple 1945–1950
stayed down
Bowling Green 1975–1980
stayed down
Navy 1988–1993
clawed back
Georgia Tech 1977–1982
stayed down
An analogy on the shape of a program’s Zeitgeist stature arc — not a prediction. Interim calibration, medium confidence; matched among current FBS programs at a comparable level.
Home-Field Advantage · Hardin-Simmons University · 2018-present
Above-Average
90% home win rate vs 77% on the road. margin runs +4.7 better at home. Shelton Stadium seats 4,000.
Home19-2Away17-5
Venue texture
84°F average kickoff temp; 0% of games had measurable precipitation; 8 mph average wind.
Based on 6 home games with weather data.
All-Time Record
159-137-13
since 1909 · 45 seasons · .514 win rate
HOME
83-34-8
AWAY
70-101-4
NEUTRAL
6-2-1
1900s
1910s
1920s
1930s
1940s
1950s
1960s
2020s
Program memory
What this program never forgets
Most weeks vanish. These didn’t.
Moment of the Year · Hardin-Simmons University · 2025
Moment of the Year · Hardin-Simmons University · 2025Postseason · Lost 24-34 at Trinity University TX
Week 14 of 2025. The single game that defined the season's arc.
Postseason History
Postseason HistoryRecent postseason (2023-2025): 0-2
Most recent: 2025 — loss 34-24 (away). Last 5 postseason: 0-2.
20252023
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