McMurry University · Next-Season Outcome Band2025
Back-to-back SCAC titles
McMurry wins its second consecutive SCAC championship
McMurry University6-4Verdict Begins·Offseason
McMurry is the Abilene, Texas Methodist college that just won back-to-back SCAC titles (2024–2025) before joining the ASC in 2026–27.
Title DroughtSince 2020 · 5 yrs
Fans here believe no chip — McMurry is playing with earned confidence from two consecutive SCAC championships.
low signal
The War Hawks are patient.
McMurry University · Next-Season Outcome Band
Floor / Base / Ceiling
Floor 4-8
Base 6-6
Ceiling 9-3
floor4-8Rebuild year. Below .500.
base6-6Mid-table finish.
ceiling9-3Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Variance assumed at ±2 wins from last-season record. Replace with the season-path projection once preview data is built.
Recent Form · last 10 games
Warming
Four of five. The board favors this trend.
Streak W2Last 5 · 4-1Last 10 · 6-4
The forecast
Opens Sep 5
vs Southwestern U · away
Game Week
9 days
until kickoff · at Southwestern U · Sat Sep 5 · 23:00 UTC
The experience
McMurry is the Abilene, Texas Methodist college that just won back-to-back SCAC titles (2024–2025) before joining the ASC in 2026–27.
DIVISION III · THE PATH TO THE STAGG BOWL
McMurry University sits 3rd in the American Southwest Conference and 105th of 240 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
American Southwest · 2025
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hardin Simmons | 6-1 | 9-2 | 65.2 |
| 2 | Mary Hardin Baylor | 5-1 | 7-3 | 61.5 |
| 3 | McMurry | 1-1 | 6-4 | 52.4 |
| 4 | Howard Payne | 2-5 | 4-6 | 50.7 |
| 5 | East Texas Baptist | 0-6 | 4-6 | 45.6 |
52.4 CFB Zeitgeist#105 of 240 D348.2 strength of schedule
Win the American Southwest Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2025 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
THE 2025 SEASON · 6-4
Signature win 65-7 over Lyon; toughest day 13-42 against Texas Lutheran.
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
The Pulse on McMurry University
—
The War Hawks are patient.
What moved it — fall camp · last 14 days
Camp
Fall camp open — install + scrimmage cycle
ongoing
"Go McMurry"
— McMurry University fanbase · recurring line
0 mentions · awaiting signal
Player stats — 2025 season
No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.
McMurry University · 2025 schedule & results6-4Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 45%.
| Wk | Date | Us | Opp | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sep 6 | — | — | — | Southwestern U | L 19–27 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 3 | Sep 13 | #457 | #427 | — | @Hardin Simmons | L 19–24 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| 4 | Sep 20 | #458 | #481 | — | @Huntingdon | L 46–52 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| 5 | Sep 27 | #475 | #446 | — | Howard Payne | W 31–24 | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| 7 | Oct 11 | #478 | #452 | — | Lyon | W 65–7 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| 8 | Oct 18 | #458 | #621 | — | @Austin | W 31–13 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| 9 | Oct 25 | #459 | #636 | — | @Centenary (LA) | W 52–6 | 4-3 | 1-1 |
| 10 | Nov 1 | #455 | #484 | — | Texas Lutheran | L 13–42 | 4-4 | 1-1 |
| 11 | Nov 8 | #487 | #519 | — | Hendrix College | W 34–28 | 5-4 | 1-1 |
| 12 | Nov 16 | #478 | #448 | — | Texas Lutheran (N) | W 27–19 | 6-4 | 1-1 |
Home-Field Advantage · McMurry University · 2018-present
Strong
57% home win rate vs 37% on the road. margin runs +11.1 better at home. Wilford Moore Stadium seats 3,550.
Home11-8Away6-10
Venue texture
80°F average kickoff temp; 0% of games had measurable precipitation; 6 mph average wind.
Based on 5 home games with weather data.
All-Time Record
33-46-1
since 1934 · 27 seasons · .412 win rate
HOME
12-8-1
AWAY
18-34
NEUTRAL
3-4
1930s
1940s
1950s
1960s
2010s
2020s
Program memory
What this program never forgets
Most weeks vanish. These didn’t.
2026
ASC transition
McMurry joins the American Southwest Conference for 2026–27 season
Moment of the Year · McMurry University · 2025
Moment of the Year · McMurry University · 2025Won 65-7 vs Lyon
Week 7 of 2025. A statement margin. Recruiting boards re-rendered overnight.
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