Next game
vs Rhodes
Sat Oct 24 · 1 pm ET
Birkelbach Field · series 2-1, won the last 2
Southwestern University 86% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Southwestern University
1-5Southern Athletic · Birkelbach Field · 12,442 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
L 6-34 at Berry
Our model gave Southwestern University 11% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Three real tests left: Millsaps 14%, Maryville (TN) 15%, Centre 29%
Win out <1% · expect 1.4 of 4 more wins
Southwestern University's chance to win each game left, from our model: Rhodes 86%, Millsaps 14%, Maryville (TN) 15%, Centre 29%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line vs Rhodes · our model 86% Southwestern University
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Southwestern University · 2026 schedule and results1-5Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 58%.Our rank entering each game: #541 to #550
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #541 | #453 | — | McMurry | L 26-36 | 0-1 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #537 | #475 | — | @Texas Lutheran | L 10-19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #536 | — | — | @Schreiner | L 28-31 | 0-3 | 0-0 | |
| 4 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 5 | Oct 3 | #537 | #619 | — | @Sewanee | W 42-21 | 1-3 | 1-0 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #520 | #443 | — | Trinity (TX) | L 7-35 | 1-4 | 1-1 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #550 | #440 | — | @Berry | L 6-34 | 1-5 | 1-2 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #566 | #632 | Rhodes | 1 pm ET86% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #566 | #518 | Millsaps | 2 pm ET14% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | @Maryville (TN) | 12 pm ET15% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | Centre | 12 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Southwestern University, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Southwestern University: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Southwestern University has won one of its last five.
2-8 over the last 10, and lost the last two.
Streak L2Last 5 · 1-4Last 10 · 2-8
Range of outcomes · Southwestern University · 2026
Range of outcomes · Southwestern University · 2026Southwestern University’s most likely regular season is 2-8. 85% of outcomes land from 2-8 to 3-7.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
1 wins 7%; 2 wins 51%; 3 wins 34%; 4 wins 7%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor1-11Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base2-10Mid-table finish.
Ceiling5-7Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 1-5
Game feel49even gamescombined pts / game5th highest-scoring of 8 in the Southern Athletic
Heart rate0-1some dramain one-score games (1 of 6)5th most one-score games of 8 in the Southern Athletic
Margin-9.5competitiveavg scoring margin6th best margin of 8 in the Southern Athletic
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among Southern Athletic teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
The Pirates of Georgetown, Texas, who play for the oldest university in the state — football dropped in 1951, reborn in 2013, and crowned undefeated SCAC champions by 2016.
Standard GapA reborn program at a historic university, measured against turning…
Southwestern is the oldest university in Texas, but its football is treated as brand new because the program went dark for six decades.
Game day
The experience
The Pirates of Georgetown, Texas, who play for the oldest university in the state — football dropped in 1951, reborn in 2013, and crowned undefeated SCAC champions by 2016.
Playoff path
Southwestern University sits 6th in the Southern Athletic Conference and 192nd of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
Southern Athletic · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trinity (TX) | 2-0 | 5-1 | 64.0 |
| 2 | Hendrix | 1-0 | 4-2 | 58.1 |
| 3 | Millsaps | 3-1 | 5-1 | 58.5 |
| 4 | Berry | 2-1 | 5-1 | 65.6 |
| 5 | Centre | 1-1 | 2-4 | 44.1 |
| 6 | Southwestern U | 1-2 | 1-5 | 40.0 |
| 7 | Sewanee | 0-2 | 1-5 | 35.7 |
| 8 | Rhodes | 0-3 | 0-6 | 33.4 |
40.0 CFB Zeitgeist#192 of 245 D354.3 strength of schedule
Win the Southern Athletic Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 1-5
Signature win 42-21 over Sewanee; toughest day 7-35 against Trinity (TX).
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site