Next game
vs Berry
Sat Oct 24 · 1 pm ET
Lloyd L. Thornton Stadium · series 1-2, last win 2024
Maryville College (TN) 33% to win · our ratings after 7 games
Maryville College (TN)
4-3USA South · Lloyd L. Thornton Stadium · 3,000 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
W 16-12 at Trinity (TX)
Our model gave Maryville College (TN) 9% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Two real tests left: Berry 33%, Millsaps 43%
Win out 12% · expect 1.6 of 3 more wins
Maryville College (TN)'s chance to win each game left, from our model: Berry 33%, Southwestern U 85%, Millsaps 43%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line vs Berry · our model 33% Maryville College (TN)
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Maryville College (TN) · 2026 schedule and results4-3Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 52%.Our rank entering each game: #454 to #479
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #454 | #536 | — | @Heidelberg | L 14-40 | 0-1 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #457 | #450 | — | Hanover | L 26-43 | 0-2 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #460 | #441 | — | @Randolph Macon | L 14-42 | 0-3 | 0-0 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #465 | #630 | — | @Rhodes | W 38-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #470 | #485 | — | @Centre | W 27-21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #475 | #632 | — | Sewanee | W 51-13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #479 | #437 | — | @Trinity (TX) | W 16-12 | 4-3 | 0-0 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #475 | #431 | Berry | 1 pm ET33% to win | ||||
| 9 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Southwestern U | 12 pm ET85% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | Millsaps | 12 pm ET43% to win | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Maryville College (TN), through 7 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Maryville College (TN): a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Maryville College (TN) has won four of its last five.
5-5 over the last 10, and won the last four.
Streak W4Last 5 · 4-1Last 10 · 5-5
Range of outcomes · Maryville College (TN) · 2026
Range of outcomes · Maryville College (TN) · 2026Maryville College (TN)’s most likely regular season is 6-4. 94% of outcomes land from 5-5 to 7-3.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
4 wins 6%; 5 wins 40%; 6 wins 43%; 7 wins 12%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor5-7Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base7-5Mid-table finish.
Ceiling9-3Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 7 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 4-3
Game feel51even gamescombined pts / game3rd highest-scoring of 9 in the USA South
Heart rate2-0some dramain one-score games (2 of 7)4th most one-score games of 9 in the USA South
Margin+1.7competitiveavg scoring margin4th best margin of 9 in the USA South
Measured from 7 games · ranks are among USA South teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
The Scots of Maryville, a Presbyterian college in the Smoky Mountain foothills whose football program was organized in 1892 by Japanese student Kin Takahashi and now plays Division III in the USA South.
Title DroughtSince 2015 · 11 yrs
Maryville football dates to 1892, older than nearly every program in the region, yet a small Presbyterian college in the Smokies gets none of the attention its history earns.
Game day
The experience
The Scots of Maryville, a Presbyterian college in the Smoky Mountain foothills whose football program was organized in 1892 by Japanese student Kin Takahashi and now plays Division III in the USA South.
Playoff path
Maryville College (TN) sits 7th in the USA South Conference and 86th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
USA South · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LaGrange | 3-0 | 5-1 | 64.1 |
| 2 | Huntingdon | 3-0 | 4-2 | 58.1 |
| 3 | Brevard | 2-1 | 5-1 | 58.8 |
| 4 | Belhaven | 2-1 | 3-3 | 50.1 |
| 5 | Greensboro | 1-2 | 2-4 | 43.0 |
| 6 | Southern Virginia | 1-2 | 2-4 | 41.4 |
| 7 | Maryville (TN) | 0-0 | 4-3 | 56.0 |
| 8 | North Carolina Wesleyan | 0-3 | 2-4 | 42.5 |
56.0 CFB Zeitgeist#86 of 245 D352.2 strength of schedule1 quality win
Win the USA South Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 4-3
Signature win 51-13 over Sewanee; toughest day 14-42 against Randolph Macon.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site