Next game
vs Guilford
Sat Oct 24 · 1 pm ET
Day Field · series 4-0, won the last 4
Randolph-Macon College 99% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Randolph-Macon College
4-2Old Dominion · Day Field · 5,000 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
W 42-7 at Averett
Our model gave Randolph-Macon College 87% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Two real tests left: Hampden Sydney 46%, Shenandoah 59%
Win out 19% · expect 2.8 of 4 more wins
Randolph-Macon College's chance to win each game left, from our model: Guilford 99%, Shenandoah 59%, Roanoke College 73%, Hampden Sydney 46%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line vs Guilford · our model 99% Randolph-Macon College
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Randolph-Macon College · 2026 schedule and results4-2Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 47%.Our rank entering each game: #439 to #441
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 4 | #439 | #537 | — | @Dickinson | L 14-27 | 0-1 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #439 | #452 | — | Johns Hopkins | W 28-21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #441 | #460 | — | Maryville (TN) | W 42-14 | 2-1 | 0-0 | |
| 4 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 5 | Oct 3 | #440 | #530 | — | Bridgewater | W 46-6 | 3-1 | 1-0 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #439 | #476 | — | @Washington and Lee | L 17-20 | 3-2 | 1-1 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #441 | #609 | — | @Averett | W 42-7 | 4-2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #433 | #661 | Guilford | 1 pm ET99% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #432 | #492 | @Shenandoah | 1 pm ET59% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Roanoke College | 1 pm ET73% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @Hampden Sydney | 1 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Randolph-Macon College, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Randolph-Macon College: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Randolph-Macon College has won four of its last five.
7-3 over the last 10, and won the last one.
Streak W1Last 5 · 4-1Last 10 · 7-3
Range of outcomes · Randolph-Macon College · 2026
Range of outcomes · Randolph-Macon College · 2026Randolph-Macon College’s most likely regular season is 7-3. 94% of outcomes land from 6-4 to 8-2.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
5 wins 6%; 6 wins 30%; 7 wins 44%; 8 wins 19%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor6-6Competitive but likely outside bracket contention.
Base8-4Conference title contender. Bracket bid realistic.
Ceiling10-2Deep playoff run. Program-defining year.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 4-2
Game feel47even gamescombined pts / game5th highest-scoring of 7 in the Old Dominion
Heart rate1-1white-knucklein one-score games (2 of 6)2nd most one-score games of 7 in the Old Dominion
Margin+15.7comfortableavg scoring margin1st best margin of 7 in the Old Dominion
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among Old Dominion teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
A Virginia Methodist college with 200+ years of football anchored in 'The Game' — the oldest small-college rivalry in the South — against Hampden-Sydney.
Standard GapD3 honor and tradition as a historic Methodist college defending 131+…
Game day
The experience
A Virginia Methodist college with 200+ years of football anchored in 'The Game', the oldest small-college rivalry in the South, against Hampden-Sydney.
Playoff path
Randolph-Macon College sits 2nd in the Old Dominion Conference and 81st of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
Old Dominion · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hampden Sydney | 2-0 | 5-1 | 64.3 |
| 2 | Randolph Macon | 2-1 | 4-2 | 56.5 |
| 3 | Washington and Lee | 2-1 | 4-2 | 54.1 |
| 4 | Bridgewater | 2-1 | 2-4 | 44.7 |
| 5 | Shenandoah | 1-1 | 4-2 | 57.2 |
| 6 | Averett | 0-3 | 2-4 | 40.6 |
| 7 | Guilford | 0-2 | 1-5 | 35.8 |
56.5 CFB Zeitgeist#81 of 245 D350.6 strength of schedule1 quality win
Win the Old Dominion Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 4-2
Signature win 46-6 over Bridgewater; toughest day 14-27 against Dickinson.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site