Next game
vs Muhlenberg
Sat Oct 31 · 1 pm ET
Homewood Field · series 4-0, won the last 4
Johns Hopkins University 35% to win · our ratings after 7 games
Johns Hopkins University
2-5Centennial · Homewood Field · 8,500 seats
Last game · Fri Oct 23
W 40-14 vs Gettysburg
Our model gave Johns Hopkins University 75% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Two real tests left: Franklin & Marshall 21%, Muhlenberg 35%
Win out 7% · expect 1.4 of 3 more wins
Johns Hopkins University's chance to win each game left, from our model: Muhlenberg 35%, McDaniel 87%, Franklin & Marshall 21%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line vs Muhlenberg · our model 35% Johns Hopkins University
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 8
Schedule and results
Johns Hopkins University · 2026 schedule and results2-5Hard slateAverage opponent win rate 70%.Our rank entering each game: #452 to #512
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #452 | #484 | — | Ithaca | W 30-21 | 1-0 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #452 | #439 | — | @Randolph Macon | L 21-28 | 1-1 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #450 | #440 | — | Susquehanna | L 23-49 | 1-2 | 0-0 | |
| 4 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 5 | Oct 2 | #456 | #463 | — | @Dickinson | L 21-35 | 1-3 | 0-1 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #473 | #482 | — | @Carnegie Mellon | L 0-21 | 1-4 | 0-1 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #496 | #508 | — | @Ursinus | L 14-35 | 1-5 | 0-2 | |
| 8 | Oct 23 | #512 | #633 | — | Gettysburg | W 40-14 | 2-5 | 1-2 | |
| 9 | Oct 31 | #501 | #502 | Muhlenberg | 1 pm ET35% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | @McDaniel | 12 pm ET87% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 13 | Franklin & Marshall | 7 pm ET21% to win | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Johns Hopkins University, through 7 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Johns Hopkins University: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
What’s ahead
Off this week
7 days
until kickoff · vs Muhlenberg · Sat Oct 31 · 1 pm ET
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Johns Hopkins University has won one of its last five.
4-6 over the last 10, and won the last one.
Streak W1Last 5 · 1-4Last 10 · 4-6
Range of outcomes · Johns Hopkins University · 2026
Range of outcomes · Johns Hopkins University · 2026Johns Hopkins University’s most likely regular season is 3-7. 87% of outcomes land from 3-7 to 4-6.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
2 wins 6%; 3 wins 50%; 4 wins 37%; 5 wins 7%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor2-10Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base3-9Mid-table finish.
Ceiling6-6Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 7 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 2-5
Game feel50shootoutscombined pts / game2nd highest-scoring of 7 in the Centennial
Heart rate0-1rarely closein one-score games (1 of 7)6th most one-score games of 7 in the Centennial
Margin-7.7competitiveavg scoring margin5th best margin of 7 in the Centennial
Measured from 7 games · ranks are among Centennial teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
The Blue Jays of Baltimore, a Centennial Conference juggernaut with 17 league titles since 2002 — ten of them in a row through 2018 — playing Division III football at historic Homewood Field.
Title DroughtSince 2018 · 8 yrs
Hopkins won ten straight Centennial titles and 17 since 2002, and the football world still only knows the school for lacrosse and laboratories.
Game day
The experience
The Blue Jays of Baltimore, a Centennial Conference juggernaut with 17 league titles since 2002, ten of them in a row through 2018, playing Division III football at historic Homewood Field.
Playoff path
Johns Hopkins University sits 5th in the Centennial Conference and 151st of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
Centennial · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ursinus | 3-0 | 6-0 | 68.2 |
| 2 | Dickinson | 2-1 | 4-2 | 62.3 |
| 3 | Franklin & Marshall | 2-1 | 5-1 | 61.5 |
| 4 | Muhlenberg | 2-1 | 4-2 | 59.0 |
| 5 | Johns Hopkins | 1-2 | 2-5 | 46.0 |
| 6 | Gettysburg | 0-3 | 2-5 | 42.6 |
| 7 | McDaniel | 0-2 | 1-5 | 38.6 |
46.0 CFB Zeitgeist#151 of 245 D358.5 strength of schedule1 quality win
Win the Centennial Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 2-5
Signature win 40-14 over Gettysburg; toughest day 23-49 against Susquehanna.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site