Next game
at Dickinson
Sat Oct 24 · 2 pm ET
Biddle Field · series 1-3, lost the last 3
McDaniel College 2% to win · our ratings after 6 games
McDaniel College
1-5Centennial · Kenneth R. Gill Stadium · 1,434 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
L 7-49 at Muhlenberg
Our model gave McDaniel College 4% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Underdogs in all 4 games left, best shot: Gettysburg 34%
Win out <1% · expect 0.5 of 4 more wins
McDaniel College's chance to win each game left, from our model: Dickinson 2%, Franklin & Marshall 2%, Johns Hopkins 13%, Gettysburg 34%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at Dickinson · our model 2% McDaniel College
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
McDaniel College · 2026 schedule and results1-5Hard slateAverage opponent win rate 59%.Our rank entering each game: #633 to #639
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 4 | #633 | #611 | — | Catholic | W 13-7 | 1-0 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #631 | #444 | — | @Salisbury | L 0-31 | 1-1 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #621 | #658 | — | @Juniata | L 7-28 | 1-2 | 0-0 | |
| 4 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 5 | Oct 3 | #629 | #484 | — | Carnegie Mellon | L 14-52 | 1-3 | 0-0 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #637 | #513 | — | Ursinus | L 14-40 | 1-4 | 0-1 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #639 | #503 | — | @Muhlenberg | L 7-49 | 1-5 | 0-2 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #637 | #454 | @Dickinson | 2 pm ET2% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #636 | #474 | Franklin & Marshall | 1 pm ET2% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Johns Hopkins | 12 pm ET13% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @Gettysburg | 1 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for McDaniel College, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for McDaniel College: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
McDaniel College has lost five straight.
1-9 over the last 10, and lost the last five.
Streak L5Last 5 · 0-5Last 10 · 1-9
Range of outcomes · McDaniel College · 2026
Range of outcomes · McDaniel College · 2026McDaniel College’s most likely regular season is 1-9. 94% of outcomes land from 1-9 to 2-8.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
1 wins 56%; 2 wins 38%; 3 wins 5%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor1-11Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base2-10Mid-table finish.
Ceiling5-7Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 1-5
Game feel44rock fightscombined pts / game6th highest-scoring of 7 in the Centennial
Heart rate1-0some dramain one-score games (1 of 6)5th most one-score games of 7 in the Centennial
Margin-25.3outgunnedavg scoring margin7th best margin of 7 in the Centennial
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among Centennial teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
The Green Terror of McDaniel College in Westminster, Maryland — football since 1891, once the Western Maryland program that earned the first invitation to the Orange Bowl, now a Centennial Conference charter member at Gill Stadium.
Standard GapAn old program with a glittering early-century past, far removed from…
The Green Terror were the first team ever invited to the Orange Bowl — and now barely anyone remembers Western Maryland football was a name at all.
Game day
The experience
The Green Terror of McDaniel College in Westminster, Maryland — football since 1891, once the Western Maryland program that earned the first invitation to the Orange Bowl, now a Centennial Conference charter member at Gill Stadium.
Playoff path
McDaniel College sits 7th in the Centennial Conference and 200th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
Centennial · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ursinus | 3-0 | 6-0 | 68.2 |
| 2 | Dickinson | 2-1 | 4-2 | 62.3 |
| 3 | Franklin & Marshall | 2-1 | 5-1 | 61.5 |
| 4 | Muhlenberg | 2-1 | 4-2 | 59.0 |
| 5 | Johns Hopkins | 1-2 | 2-5 | 46.0 |
| 6 | Gettysburg | 0-3 | 2-5 | 42.6 |
| 7 | McDaniel | 0-2 | 1-5 | 38.6 |
38.6 CFB Zeitgeist#200 of 245 D353.8 strength of schedule
Win the Centennial Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 1-5
Signature win 13-7 over Catholic; toughest day 7-49 against Muhlenberg.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site