Next game
at Moravian
Sat Oct 24 · 12 pm ET
Rocco Calvo Field · series 1-2
Catholic University 61% to win · our ratings after 7 games
Catholic University
1-6Landmark Conference · Cardinal Stadium (DC) · 3,500 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
W 28-27 vs Western Connecticut State
Our model gave Catholic University 29% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Three real tests left: Wilkes 25%, Moravian 61%, Juniata 63%
Win out 10% · expect 1.5 of 3 more wins
Catholic University's chance to win each game left, from our model: Moravian 61%, Wilkes 25%, Juniata 63%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at Moravian · our model 61% Catholic University
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Catholic University · 2026 schedule and results1-6Hard slateAverage opponent win rate 61%.Our rank entering each game: #611 to #612
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 4 | #611 | #633 | — | @McDaniel | L 7-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #614 | #478 | — | Carnegie Mellon | L 35-38 | 0-2 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #609 | #491 | — | Franklin & Marshall | L 17-31 | 0-3 | 0-0 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #609 | #446 | — | @Salisbury | L 10-47 | 0-4 | 0-0 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #603 | #552 | — | @Lycoming | L 25-49 | 0-5 | 0-1 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #610 | #447 | — | Susquehanna | L 21-45 | 0-6 | 0-2 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #612 | #582 | — | Western Connecticut State | W 28-27 | 1-6 | 1-2 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #605 | #627 | @Moravian | 12 pm ET61% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #605 | #538 | Wilkes | 12 pm ET25% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | @Juniata | 12 pm ET63% to win |
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Catholic University, through 7 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Catholic University: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Catholic University has won one of its last five.
1-9 over the last 10, and won the last one.
Streak W1Last 5 · 1-4Last 10 · 1-9
Range of outcomes · Catholic University · 2026
Range of outcomes · Catholic University · 2026Catholic University’s most likely regular season is 3-7. 90% of outcomes land from 1-9 to 3-7.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
1 wins 11%; 2 wins 39%; 3 wins 41%; 4 wins 10%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor1-11Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base2-10Mid-table finish.
Ceiling5-7Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 7 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 1-6
Game feel56shootoutscombined pts / game1st highest-scoring of 7 in the Landmark Conference
Heart rate1-2white-knucklein one-score games (3 of 7)1st most one-score games of 7 in the Landmark Conference
Margin-15.3outgunnedavg scoring margin6th best margin of 7 in the Landmark Conference
Measured from 7 games · ranks are among Landmark Conference teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind·Written June 2026
Catholic University joined the Landmark Conference in 2023 and is finding its footing in a new home — a Washington, DC program defining itself through community development, not championships.
Standard GapA modest Washington, DC Catholic university navigating its first years…
Fans here believe no chip; Catholic is focused on community and development, not vindication against anyone.
Game day
The experience
Catholic University joined the Landmark Conference in 2023 and is finding its footing in a new home — a Washington, DC program defining itself through community development, not championships.
Playoff path
Catholic University sits 6th in the Landmark Conference and 204th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
Landmark · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lycoming | 3-0 | 4-3 | 53.8 |
| 2 | Susquehanna | 2-0 | 5-1 | 64.0 |
| 3 | Wilkes | 1-1 | 3-3 | 50.2 |
| 4 | Western Connecticut State | 1-1 | 2-3 | 43.4 |
| 5 | Juniata | 1-2 | 2-5 | 39.4 |
| 6 | Catholic | 1-2 | 1-6 | 37.9 |
| 7 | Moravian | 0-3 | 1-6 | 37.7 |
37.9 CFB Zeitgeist#204 of 245 D354.2 strength of schedule
Win the Landmark Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 1-6
Signature win 28-27 over Western Connecticut State; toughest day 10-47 against Salisbury.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site