Next game
vs Susquehanna
Sat Oct 24 · 12 pm ET
Schmidt Stadium · series 0-3, lost the last 3
Wilkes University 21% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Wilkes University
3-3Landmark Conference · Schmidt Stadium · 1,800 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 10
L 7-17 vs Lycoming
Our model gave Wilkes University 56% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Two real tests left: Susquehanna 21%, Western Connecticut State 58%
Win out 8% · expect 2.5 of 4 more wins
Wilkes University's chance to win each game left, from our model: Susquehanna 21%, Catholic 75%, Moravian 92%, Western Connecticut State 58%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line vs Susquehanna · our model 21% Wilkes University
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 6
Schedule and results
Wilkes University · 2026 schedule and results3-3Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 50%.Our rank entering each game: #506 to #531
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | #506 | #538 | — | @King's | W 7-0 | 1-0 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #510 | #554 | — | The College of New Jersey | W 28-8 | 2-0 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #510 | #493 | — | @Muhlenberg | L 27-41 | 2-1 | 0-0 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #513 | #572 | — | Montclair State | L 9-26 | 2-2 | 0-0 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #531 | #657 | — | @Juniata | W 21-2 | 3-2 | 1-0 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #531 | #538 | — | Lycoming | L 7-17 | 3-3 | 1-1 | |
| 7 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 8 | Oct 24 | #538 | #448 | Susquehanna | 12 pm ET21% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #538 | #605 | @Catholic | 12 pm ET75% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Moravian | 12 pm ET92% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @Western Connecticut State | 12 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Wilkes University, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Wilkes University: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Wilkes University has won two of its last five.
6-4 over the last 10, and lost the last one.
Streak L1Last 5 · 2-3Last 10 · 6-4
Range of outcomes · Wilkes University · 2026
Range of outcomes · Wilkes University · 2026Wilkes University’s most likely regular season is 6-4. 91% of outcomes land from 4-6 to 6-4.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
4 wins 11%; 5 wins 39%; 6 wins 41%; 7 wins 8%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor4-8Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base6-6Mid-table finish.
Ceiling9-3Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 3-3
Game feel32rock fightscombined pts / game7th highest-scoring of 7 in the Landmark Conference
Heart rate1-0some dramain one-score games (1 of 6)5th most one-score games of 7 in the Landmark Conference
Margin+0.8competitiveavg scoring margin3rd best margin of 7 in the Landmark Conference
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among Landmark Conference teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind·Written June 2026
Wilkes is the Landmark program that finished second in back-to-back years (2023, 2024)—a rising team just below the Susquehanna juggernaut, playing championship-level football with resources of a small school.
Title DroughtSince 2023 · 3 yrs
Fans here believe wilkes' chip is Susquehanna—the program that has won four straight titles and left Wilkes as the eternal runner-up.
Game day
The experience
Wilkes is the Landmark program that finished second in back-to-back years (2023, 2024)—a rising team just below the Susquehanna juggernaut, playing championship-level football with resources of a small school.
Playoff path
Wilkes University sits 3rd in the Landmark Conference and 121st of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
Landmark · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lycoming | 3-0 | 4-3 | 53.8 |
| 2 | Susquehanna | 2-0 | 5-1 | 64.0 |
| 3 | Wilkes | 1-1 | 3-3 | 50.2 |
| 4 | Western Connecticut State | 1-1 | 2-3 | 43.4 |
| 5 | Juniata | 1-2 | 2-5 | 39.4 |
| 6 | Catholic | 1-2 | 1-6 | 37.9 |
| 7 | Moravian | 0-3 | 1-6 | 37.7 |
50.2 CFB Zeitgeist#121 of 245 D349.8 strength of schedule
Win the Landmark Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 3-3
Signature win 28-8 over The College of New Jersey; toughest day 9-26 against Montclair State.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site