Next game
at Rowan
Sat Oct 24 · 2 pm ET
Richard Wackar Stadium · series 0-4, lost the last 4
College Of New Jersey 30% to win · our ratings after 6 games
College Of New Jersey
3-3New Jersey · Lions Stadium · 6,000 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
W 34-0 at William Paterson
Our model gave College Of New Jersey 82% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Three real tests left: Christopher Newport 14%, Rowan 30%, Montclair State 40%
Win out 1% · expect 1.6 of 4 more wins
College Of New Jersey's chance to win each game left, from our model: Rowan 30%, Montclair State 40%, Christopher Newport 14%, Kean 72%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at Rowan · our model 30% College Of New Jersey
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
College Of New Jersey · 2026 schedule and results3-3Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 42%.Our rank entering each game: #550 to #554
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #550 | #543 | — | Lycoming | L 7-17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #554 | #510 | — | @Wilkes | L 8-28 | 0-2 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 4 | Sep 26 | #563 | #654 | — | @Juniata | W 35-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #557 | #447 | — | Salisbury | L 9-21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #554 | #633 | — | Vermont State Castleton | W 38-23 | 2-3 | 1-1 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #554 | #637 | — | @William Paterson | W 34-0 | 3-3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #542 | #481 | @Rowan | 2 pm ET30% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #541 | #530 | Montclair State | 12 pm ET40% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | @Christopher Newport | 1 pm ET14% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | Kean | time TBA | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for College Of New Jersey, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for College Of New Jersey: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
College Of New Jersey has won three of its last five.
4-6 over the last 10, and won the last two.
Streak W2Last 5 · 3-2Last 10 · 4-6
Range of outcomes · College Of New Jersey · 2026
Range of outcomes · College Of New Jersey · 2026College Of New Jersey’s most likely regular season is 4-6. 89% of outcomes land from 4-6 to 6-4.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
3 wins 10%; 4 wins 39%; 5 wins 37%; 6 wins 13%; 7 wins 1%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor4-8Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base6-6Mid-table finish.
Ceiling9-3Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 3-3
Game feel38rock fightscombined pts / game8th highest-scoring of 8 in the New Jersey
Heart rate0-0rarely closein one-score games (0 of 6)8th most one-score games of 8 in the New Jersey
Margin+5.8competitiveavg scoring margin5th best margin of 8 in the New Jersey
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among New Jersey teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
The Lions of The College of New Jersey in Ewing — once Trenton State College, a founding member of the New Jersey Athletic Conference since 1957, playing public-school football at Lions Stadium.
Standard GapA respected New Jersey public university grinding in the deep NJAC…
TCNJ has been an NJAC charter member since 1957 as Trenton State — a real New Jersey football program that gets overlooked in a conference of heavyweights.
Game day
The experience
The Lions of The College of New Jersey in Ewing — once Trenton State College, a founding member of the New Jersey Athletic Conference since 1957, playing public-school football at Lions Stadium.
Playoff path
College Of New Jersey sits 5th in the New Jersey Conference and 131st of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
New Jersey · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Christopher Newport | 3-0 | 6-0 | 72.6 |
| 2 | Rowan | 3-0 | 5-1 | 62.8 |
| 3 | Salisbury | 2-1 | 5-1 | 60.6 |
| 4 | Montclair State | 2-1 | 4-2 | 58.2 |
| 5 | The College of New Jersey | 2-1 | 3-3 | 48.2 |
| 6 | Vermont State Castleton | 0-3 | 2-4 | 42.4 |
| 7 | Kean | 0-3 | 1-4 | 40.4 |
| 8 | William Paterson | 0-3 | 0-6 | 31.3 |
48.2 CFB Zeitgeist#131 of 245 D346.3 strength of schedule
Win the New Jersey Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 3-3
Signature win 34-0 over William Paterson; toughest day 8-28 against Wilkes.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site