Next game
at Kean
Sat Oct 24 · 1 pm ET
Kean Alumni Stadium · series 2-2, lost the last 2
William Paterson 10% to win · our ratings after 6 games
William Paterson
0-6New Jersey · Wightman Stadium · 1,909 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
L 0-34 vs The College of New Jersey
Our model gave William Paterson 18% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Underdogs in all 4 games left, best shot: Vermont State Castleton 19%
Win out <1% · expect 0.3 of 4 more wins
William Paterson's chance to win each game left, from our model: Kean 10%, Salisbury 1%, Rowan 3%, Vermont State Castleton 19%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at Kean · our model 10% William Paterson
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
William Paterson · 2026 schedule and results0-6Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 56%.Our rank entering each game: #634 to #637
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #634 | #579 | — | Western Connecticut State | L 17-27 | 0-1 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 3 | Sep 19 | #634 | #502 | — | @Salve Regina | L 6-41 | 0-2 | 0-0 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #634 | #608 | — | Moravian | L 16-19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #633 | #521 | — | @Christopher Newport | L 3-49 | 0-4 | 0-1 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #636 | #539 | — | @Montclair State | L 0-42 | 0-5 | 0-2 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #637 | #554 | — | The College of New Jersey | L 0-34 | 0-6 | 0-3 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #641 | #589 | @Kean | 1 pm ET10% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #640 | #452 | Salisbury | 1 pm ET1% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Rowan | 1 pm ET3% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @Vermont State Castleton | 12 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for William Paterson, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for William Paterson: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
William Paterson has lost ten straight.
0-10 over the last 10, and lost the last ten.
Streak L10Last 5 · 0-5Last 10 · 0-10
Range of outcomes · William Paterson · 2026
Range of outcomes · William Paterson · 2026William Paterson’s most likely regular season is 0-10. 97% of outcomes land from 0-10 to 1-9.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
0 wins 70%; 1 wins 27%; 2 wins 3%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor0-12Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base0-12Mid-table finish.
Ceiling3-9Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 0-6
Game feel42even gamescombined pts / game6th highest-scoring of 8 in the New Jersey
Heart rate0-1some dramain one-score games (1 of 6)5th most one-score games of 8 in the New Jersey
Margin-28.3outgunnedavg scoring margin8th best margin of 8 in the New Jersey
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among New Jersey teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
The Pioneers of William Paterson University in Wayne, a charter member of the New Jersey Athletic Conference since 1957, playing public-school Division III football at Wightman Stadium.
Standard GapA North Jersey public university grinding in the rugged NJAC, where…
William Paterson has been an NJAC charter member since 1957 — a real New Jersey public-school football program that gets overlooked next to its flashier in-state rivals.
Game day
The experience
The Pioneers of William Paterson University in Wayne, a charter member of the New Jersey Athletic Conference since 1957, playing public-school Division III football at Wightman Stadium.
Playoff path
William Paterson sits 8th in the New Jersey Conference and 236th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
New Jersey · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Christopher Newport | 3-0 | 6-0 | 72.6 |
| 2 | Rowan | 3-0 | 5-1 | 62.8 |
| 3 | Salisbury | 2-1 | 5-1 | 60.6 |
| 4 | Montclair State | 2-1 | 4-2 | 58.2 |
| 5 | The College of New Jersey | 2-1 | 3-3 | 48.2 |
| 6 | Vermont State Castleton | 0-3 | 2-4 | 42.4 |
| 7 | Kean | 0-3 | 1-4 | 40.4 |
| 8 | William Paterson | 0-3 | 0-6 | 31.3 |
31.3 CFB Zeitgeist#236 of 245 D353.2 strength of schedule
Win the New Jersey Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 0-6
Signature win 16-19 over Moravian; toughest day 3-49 against Christopher Newport.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site