Next game
vs Catholic
Sat Oct 24 · 12 pm ET
Rocco Calvo Field · series 2-1, last win 2024
Moravian University 39% to win · our ratings after 7 games
Moravian University
1-6Landmark Conference · Rocco Calvo Field · 2,000 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
L 10-70 at Susquehanna
Our model gave Moravian University 2% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Three real tests left: Lycoming 6%, Wilkes 8%, Catholic 39%
Win out <1% · expect 0.5 of 3 more wins
Moravian University's chance to win each game left, from our model: Catholic 39%, Wilkes 8%, Lycoming 6%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line vs Catholic · our model 39% Moravian University
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Moravian University · 2026 schedule and results1-6Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 57%.Our rank entering each game: #594 to #633
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #594 | #493 | — | Muhlenberg | L 7-34 | 0-1 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #596 | #499 | — | Rowan | L 0-34 | 0-2 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #604 | #507 | — | @Ursinus | L 19-35 | 0-3 | 0-0 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #608 | #634 | — | @William Paterson | W 19-16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #606 | #595 | — | @Western Connecticut State | L 0-29 | 1-4 | 0-1 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #621 | #656 | — | Juniata | L 34-36 | 1-5 | 0-2 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #633 | #450 | — | @Susquehanna | L 10-70 | 1-6 | 0-3 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #627 | #605 | Catholic | 12 pm ET39% to win | ||||
| 9 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | @Wilkes | 12 pm ET8% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | Lycoming | 12 pm ET6% to win | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Moravian University, through 7 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Moravian University: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Moravian University has won one of its last five.
3-7 over the last 10, and lost the last three.
Streak L3Last 5 · 1-4Last 10 · 3-7
Range of outcomes · Moravian University · 2026
Range of outcomes · Moravian University · 2026Moravian University’s most likely regular season is 1-9. 94% of outcomes land from 1-9 to 2-8.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
1 wins 53%; 2 wins 41%; 3 wins 5%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor1-11Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base2-10Mid-table finish.
Ceiling5-7Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 7 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 1-6
Game feel49even gamescombined pts / game3rd highest-scoring of 7 in the Landmark Conference
Heart rate1-1some dramain one-score games (2 of 7)3rd most one-score games of 7 in the Landmark Conference
Margin-23.6outgunnedavg scoring margin7th best margin of 7 in the Landmark Conference
Measured from 7 games · ranks are among Landmark Conference teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind·Written June 2026
Moravian broke a 9-year drought by going 7–4 in 2024 and winning a bowl game — a small Bethlehem school suddenly discovering it can win.
Standard GapOne bowl win in program history (2024, Chesapeake Challenge Bowl) vs…
Fans here believe no external chip; Moravian's pride is in breaking the 9-year drought, not in vindication against anyone.
Game day
The experience
Moravian broke a 9-year drought by going 7–4 in 2024 and winning a bowl game — a small Bethlehem school suddenly discovering it can win.
Playoff path
Moravian University sits 7th in the Landmark Conference and 205th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
Landmark · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lycoming | 3-0 | 4-3 | 53.8 |
| 2 | Susquehanna | 2-0 | 5-1 | 64.0 |
| 3 | Wilkes | 1-1 | 3-3 | 50.2 |
| 4 | Western Connecticut State | 1-1 | 2-3 | 43.4 |
| 5 | Juniata | 1-2 | 2-5 | 39.4 |
| 6 | Catholic | 1-2 | 1-6 | 37.9 |
| 7 | Moravian | 0-3 | 1-6 | 37.7 |
37.7 CFB Zeitgeist#205 of 245 D352.6 strength of schedule
Win the Landmark Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 1-6
Signature win 19-16 over William Paterson; toughest day 10-70 against Susquehanna.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site