Next game
vs Western Connecticut State
Sat Oct 24 · 1 pm ET
David Person Field · series 1-0
Lycoming 83% to win · our ratings after 7 games
Lycoming
4-3Landmark Conference · David Person Field · 3,700 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
W 42-7 vs Juniata
Our model gave Lycoming 95% before kickoff
The rest of the season
One real test left: Susquehanna 37%
Win out 29% · expect 2.1 of 3 more wins
Lycoming's chance to win each game left, from our model: Western Connecticut State 83%, Susquehanna 37%, Moravian 94%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line vs Western Connecticut State · our model 83% Lycoming
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Lycoming · 2026 schedule and results4-3Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 51%.Our rank entering each game: #543 to #521
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #543 | #550 | — | @The College of New Jersey | W 17-7 | 1-0 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #540 | #577 | — | Montclair State | L 28-30 | 1-1 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #546 | #474 | — | @Dickinson | L 21-40 | 1-2 | 0-0 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #551 | #500 | — | @Rowan | L 0-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #552 | #603 | — | Catholic | W 49-25 | 2-3 | 1-0 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #538 | #531 | — | @Wilkes | W 17-7 | 3-3 | 2-0 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #521 | #653 | — | Juniata | W 42-7 | 4-3 | 3-0 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #508 | #588 | Western Connecticut State | 1 pm ET83% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #509 | #447 | Susquehanna | 1 pm ET37% to win | ||||
| 10 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @Moravian | 12 pm ET94% to win | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Lycoming, through 7 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Lycoming: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Lycoming has won three of its last five.
6-4 over the last 10, and won the last three.
Streak W3Last 5 · 3-2Last 10 · 6-4
Range of outcomes · Lycoming · 2026
Range of outcomes · Lycoming · 2026Lycoming’s most likely regular season is 6-4. 99% of outcomes land from 5-5 to 7-3.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
5 wins 14%; 6 wins 57%; 7 wins 29%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor5-7Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base7-5Mid-table finish.
Ceiling9-3Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 7 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 4-3
Game feel43even gamescombined pts / game4th highest-scoring of 7 in the Landmark Conference
Heart rate0-1rarely closein one-score games (1 of 7)7th most one-score games of 7 in the Landmark Conference
Margin+7.0comfortableavg scoring margin2nd best margin of 7 in the Landmark Conference
Measured from 7 games · ranks are among Landmark Conference teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind·Written June 2026
Lycoming joined the Landmark Conference in 2023 and has settled into mid-pack stability—a Williamsport program that plays solid football without championship ambition.
Standard GapA solid but unspectacular Landmark member (6–6 in two seasons) vs. a…
Fans here believe no chip; Lycoming is content with steady competence.
Game day
The experience
Lycoming joined the Landmark Conference in 2023 and has settled into mid-pack stability—a Williamsport program that plays solid football without championship ambition.
Playoff path
Lycoming sits 1st in the Landmark Conference and 95th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
Landmark · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lycoming | 3-0 | 4-3 | 53.8 |
| 2 | Susquehanna | 2-0 | 5-1 | 64.0 |
| 3 | Wilkes | 1-1 | 3-3 | 50.2 |
| 4 | Western Connecticut State | 1-1 | 2-3 | 43.4 |
| 5 | Juniata | 1-2 | 2-5 | 39.4 |
| 6 | Catholic | 1-2 | 1-6 | 37.9 |
| 7 | Moravian | 0-3 | 1-6 | 37.7 |
53.8 CFB Zeitgeist#95 of 245 D351.3 strength of schedule
Win the Landmark Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 4-3
Signature win 42-7 over Juniata; toughest day 21-40 against Dickinson.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site