Carnegie Mellon · Next-Season Outcome Band1989 PAC Championship
CMU's last conference title before the 32-year drought
Carnegie Mellon6-5Hope-Doping·Offseason
Carnegie Mellon is an elite STEM institution where the best computer scientists happen to play football — a program that defines itself by who the athletes become, not who they beat.
Title DroughtSince 2022 · 3 yrs
Fans here believe no chip; CMU's identity is orthogonal to disrespect. The program exists for the intellectual development of world-class engineers who happen to wear football uniforms.
low signal
Tartans country waits.
Carnegie Mellon · Next-Season Outcome Band
Floor / Base / Ceiling
Floor 4-8
Base 6-6
Ceiling 9-3
floor4-8Rebuild year. Below .500.
base6-6Mid-table finish.
ceiling9-3Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Variance assumed at ±2 wins from last-season record. Replace with the season-path projection once preview data is built.
Recent Form · last 10 games
Cooling
Two of five. Schedule has caught up.
Streak W1Last 5 · 2-3Last 10 · 5-5
The forecast
Opens Sep 5
vs John Carroll · at home
Game Week
11 days
until kickoff · vs John Carroll · Sat Sep 5 · 18:00 UTC
The experience
Carnegie Mellon is an elite STEM institution where the best computer scientists happen to play football — a program that defines itself by who the athletes become, not who they beat.
DIVISION III · THE PATH TO THE STAGG BOWL
Carnegie Mellon sits 12th in the Presidents' Conference and 70th of 240 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
Presidents' · 2025
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Washington & Jefferson | 8-0 | 8-3 | 60.4 |
| 2 | Grove City | 7-1 | 8-3 | 62.1 |
| 3 | Westminster (PA) | 6-2 | 8-3 | 58.4 |
| 4 | Geneva | 6-2 | 6-5 | 50.6 |
| 5 | Case Western Reserve | 4-4 | 4-5 | 47.8 |
| 6 | Waynesburg | 4-4 | 4-6 | 44.9 |
| 7 | Allegheny | 4-4 | 4-6 | 43.8 |
| 12 | Carnegie Mellon | 0-0 | 6-5 | 56.6 |
56.6 CFB Zeitgeist#70 of 240 D358.1 strength of schedule3 quality wins
Win the Presidents' Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2025 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
THE 2025 SEASON · 6-5
Signature win 56-7 over McDaniel; toughest day 14-38 against Wisconsin La Crosse.
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
The Pulse on Carnegie Mellon
—
Tartans country waits.
What moved it — fall camp · last 14 days
Camp
Fall camp open — install + scrimmage cycle
ongoing
"Go Carnegie Mellon"
— Carnegie Mellon fanbase · recurring line
13 mentions · awaiting signal
Player stats — 2025 season
No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.
Carnegie Mellon · 2025 schedule & results6-5Hard slateAverage opponent win rate 60%.
| Wk | Date | Us | Opp | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sep 6 | — | — | — | @Chicago | W 20–0 | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| 3 | Sep 13 | #470 | — | — | Wisconsin La Crosse | L 14–38 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 4 | Sep 20 | #464 | #451 | — | Berry College | W 17–9 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 6 | Oct 4 | #475 | #627 | — | McDaniel | W 56–7 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 7 | Oct 11 | #470 | #451 | — | @Johns Hopkins | L 27–28 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 8 | Oct 18 | #462 | #648 | — | Gettysburg | W 44–20 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 9 | Oct 25 | #463 | #492 | — | @Muhlenberg | L 23–27 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 10 | Nov 1 | #467 | #524 | — | @Dickinson | W 70–29 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 11 | Nov 8 | #451 | #505 | — | Franklin & Marshall | L 24–31 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 12 | Nov 15 | #462 | #537 | — | @Ursinus | L 20–27 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| 13 | Nov 22 | #467 | #550 | — | Misericordia | W 24–17 | 6-5 | 0-0 |
Home-Field Advantage · Carnegie Mellon · 2018-present
Strong
86% home win rate vs 71% on the road. margin runs +9.0 better at home. Gesling Stadium seats 3,500.
Home20-3Away15-6
Venue texture
62°F average kickoff temp; 14% of games had measurable precipitation; 6 mph average wind.
Based on 7 home games with weather data.
All-Time Record
121-120-14
since 1906 · 41 seasons · .474 win rate
HOME
71-35-9
AWAY
50-83-5
NEUTRAL
0-2
1900s
1910s
1920s
1930s
1940s
2010s
2020s
Program memory
What this program never forgets
Most weeks vanish. These didn’t.
2021 PAC Championship return
After 32 years, CMU returns to the postseason under Ryan Larsen
2025
Centennial Conference arrival
CMU joins Centennial as associate member, finding new conference home
Moment of the Year · Carnegie Mellon · 2025
Moment of the Year · Carnegie Mellon · 2025Won 20-0 at Chicago
Week 2 of 2025. The single game that defined the season's arc.
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