Next game
vs Wooster
Sat Oct 24 · 1 pm ET
Don Shula Stadium at Wasmer Field · series 1-0
John Carroll University 96% to win · our ratings after 6 games
John Carroll University
5-1Ohio · Don Shula Stadium at Wasmer Field · 5,416 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
W 24-17 vs Wabash
Our model gave John Carroll University 65% before kickoff
The rest of the season
One real test left: DePauw 40%
Win out 32% · expect 3.2 of 4 more wins
John Carroll University's chance to win each game left, from our model: Wooster 96%, DePauw 40%, Oberlin 99%, Denison 85%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line vs Wooster · our model 96% John Carroll University
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
John Carroll University · 2026 schedule and results5-1Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 52%.Our rank entering each game: #446 to #451
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #446 | #478 | — | @Carnegie Mellon | W 17-7 | 1-0 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #446 | #543 | — | @Ohio Wesleyan | W 44-7 | 2-0 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #445 | #597 | — | Kenyon | W 56-7 | 3-0 | 0-0 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #447 | #497 | — | Wittenberg | W 49-3 | 4-0 | 0-0 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #445 | #479 | — | @Washington St. Louis | L 25-35 | 4-1 | 0-0 | |
| 6 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 7 | Oct 17 | #451 | #474 | — | Wabash | W 24-17 | 5-1 | 0-0 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #445 | #581 | Wooster | 1 pm ET96% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #445 | #446 | @DePauw | 1 pm ET40% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | @Oberlin | 12 pm ET99% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | Denison | 1 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for John Carroll University, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for John Carroll University: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
John Carroll University has won four of its last five.
8-2 over the last 10, and won the last one.
Streak W1Last 5 · 4-1Last 10 · 8-2
Range of outcomes · John Carroll University · 2026
Range of outcomes · John Carroll University · 2026John Carroll University’s most likely regular season is 8-2. 100% of outcomes land from 7-3 to 9-1.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
7 wins 11%; 8 wins 56%; 9 wins 32%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor8-4Competitive but likely outside bracket contention.
Base10-2Conference title contender. Bracket bid realistic.
Ceiling11-1Deep playoff run. Program-defining year.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 5-1
Game feel48even gamescombined pts / game8th highest-scoring of 10 in the Ohio
Heart rate1-0some dramain one-score games (1 of 6)7th most one-score games of 10 in the Ohio
Margin+23.2comfortableavg scoring margin2nd best margin of 10 in the Ohio
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among Ohio teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
The Blue Streaks of University Heights, a Jesuit program with three perfect seasons in its history and multiple conference titles, long a top Division III name out of the Cleveland suburbs.
Standard GapA tradition-rich Catholic program whose history sets a high bar — the…
John Carroll has three perfect seasons and a stack of conference titles, and the story always seems to circle back to Mount Union being in the way.
Game day
The experience
The Blue Streaks of University Heights, a Jesuit program with three perfect seasons in its history and multiple conference titles, long a top Division III name out of the Cleveland suburbs.
Playoff path
John Carroll University sits 9th in the Ohio Conference and 29th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — inside the projected 40-team field on the at-large math.
Ohio · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Baldwin Wallace | 4-0 | 6-0 | 72.4 |
| 2 | Ohio Northern | 4-1 | 4-2 | 55.4 |
| 3 | Heidelberg | 3-1 | 5-1 | 66.2 |
| 4 | Mount Union | 3-1 | 4-2 | 60.4 |
| 5 | Marietta | 2-3 | 3-3 | 52.2 |
| 6 | Capital | 2-3 | 3-3 | 50.9 |
| 7 | Otterbein | 1-3 | 2-4 | 45.3 |
| 9 | John Carroll | 0-0 | 5-1 | 64.7 |
64.7 CFB Zeitgeist#29 of 245 D352.4 strength of schedule2 quality wins
Win the Ohio Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 5-1
Signature win 56-7 over Kenyon; toughest day 25-35 against Washington St. Louis.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site