Next game
vs Kenyon
Sat Oct 24 · 4 pm ET
Deeds Field-Piper Stadium · series 4-0, won the last 4
Denison University 84% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Denison University
4-2North Coast · Deeds Field-Piper Stadium · 3,000 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
L 14-62 at DePauw
Our model gave Denison University 24% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Two real tests left: John Carroll 15%, Washington St. Louis 15%
Win out 2% · expect 2.0 of 4 more wins
Denison University's chance to win each game left, from our model: Kenyon 84%, Washington St. Louis 15%, Wittenberg 84%, John Carroll 15%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line vs Kenyon · our model 84% Denison University
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Denison University · 2026 schedule and results4-2Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 55%.Our rank entering each game: #497 to #501
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #497 | #455 | — | Hope | L 14-28 | 0-1 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 10 | #495 | #652 | — | Oberlin | W 50-0 | 1-1 | 1-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #501 | #562 | — | @Wooster | W 38-0 | 2-1 | 2-0 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #494 | #556 | — | Ohio Wesleyan | W 21-14 | 3-1 | 3-0 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #496 | #468 | — | Wabash | W 24-23 | 4-1 | 4-0 | |
| 6 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 7 | Oct 17 | #501 | #459 | — | @DePauw | L 14-62 | 4-2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #514 | #594 | Kenyon | 4 pm ET84% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #514 | #473 | @Washington St. Louis | 2 pm ET15% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Wittenberg | 7 pm ET84% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @John Carroll | 1 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Denison University, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Denison University: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Denison University has won four of its last five.
6-4 over the last 10, and lost the last one.
Streak L1Last 5 · 4-1Last 10 · 6-4
Range of outcomes · Denison University · 2026
Range of outcomes · Denison University · 2026Denison University’s most likely regular season is 6-4. 97% of outcomes land from 5-5 to 7-3.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
4 wins 2%; 5 wins 20%; 6 wins 58%; 7 wins 19%; 8 wins 2%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor6-6Competitive but likely outside bracket contention.
Base8-4Conference title contender. Bracket bid realistic.
Ceiling10-2Deep playoff run. Program-defining year.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 4-2
Game feel48even gamescombined pts / game4th highest-scoring of 9 in the North Coast
Heart rate2-0some dramain one-score games (2 of 6)4th most one-score games of 9 in the North Coast
Margin+5.7competitiveavg scoring margin4th best margin of 9 in the North Coast
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among North Coast teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
The Big Red of Granville, Ohio, a North Coast Athletic Conference charter member whose football history includes a perfect 1947 season under a young Woody Hayes — a selective liberal-arts school with deep Ohio roots.
Standard GapAn old, academically elite Ohio program whose proudest football lives…
Denison is a nationally respected liberal-arts college with real football history, including a young Woody Hayes, that almost no one outside Ohio remembers.
Game day
The experience
The Big Red of Granville, Ohio, a North Coast Athletic Conference charter member whose football history includes a perfect 1947 season under a young Woody Hayes — a selective liberal-arts school with deep Ohio roots.
Playoff path
Denison University sits 3rd in the North Coast Conference and 76th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
North Coast · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Washington St. Louis | 4-0 | 6-0 | 71.1 |
| 2 | DePauw | 4-1 | 5-1 | 64.5 |
| 3 | Denison | 4-1 | 4-2 | 57.4 |
| 4 | Wabash | 3-1 | 4-2 | 56.1 |
| 5 | Ohio Wesleyan | 2-2 | 3-3 | 49.1 |
| 6 | Wooster | 2-3 | 2-4 | 41.8 |
| 7 | Kenyon | 1-3 | 2-4 | 46.3 |
| 8 | Oberlin | 0-5 | 0-6 | 34.4 |
57.4 CFB Zeitgeist#76 of 245 D353.2 strength of schedule1 quality win
Win the North Coast Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 4-2
Signature win 50-0 over Oberlin; toughest day 14-62 against DePauw.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site