Next game
vs DePauw
Sat Oct 24 · 2 pm ET
Edwards-Maurer Field · series 1-3, lost the last 3
Wittenberg University 4% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Wittenberg University
0-6North Coast · Edwards-Maurer Field · 3,000 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
L 6-21 at Ohio Wesleyan
Our model gave Wittenberg University 30% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Three real tests left: DePauw 4%, Denison 16%, Wooster 41%
Win out <1% · expect 1.5 of 4 more wins
Wittenberg University's chance to win each game left, from our model: DePauw 4%, Wooster 41%, Denison 16%, Oberlin 86%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line vs DePauw · our model 4% Wittenberg University
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Wittenberg University · 2026 schedule and results0-6Hard slateAverage opponent win rate 66%.Our rank entering each game: #486 to #533
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #486 | #461 | — | @Washington and Lee | L 7-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #484 | #477 | — | @Wabash | L 0-31 | 0-2 | 0-1 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #490 | #482 | — | Washington St. Louis | L 24-31 | 0-3 | 0-2 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #497 | #447 | — | @John Carroll | L 3-49 | 0-4 | 0-2 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #511 | #593 | — | Kenyon | L 13-17 | 0-5 | 0-3 | |
| 6 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 7 | Oct 17 | #533 | #549 | — | @Ohio Wesleyan | L 6-21 | 0-6 | 0-4 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #550 | #446 | DePauw | 2 pm ET4% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #550 | #581 | @Wooster | 1 pm ET41% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | @Denison | 7 pm ET16% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | Oberlin | 1 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Wittenberg University, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Wittenberg University: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Wittenberg University has lost six straight.
2-8 over the last 10, and lost the last six.
Streak L6Last 5 · 0-5Last 10 · 2-8
Range of outcomes · Wittenberg University · 2026
Range of outcomes · Wittenberg University · 2026Wittenberg University’s most likely regular season is 1-9. 86% of outcomes land from 1-9 to 2-8.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
0 wins 6%; 1 wins 47%; 2 wins 39%; 3 wins 7%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor0-12Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base0-12Mid-table finish.
Ceiling3-9Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 0-6
Game feel36rock fightscombined pts / game9th highest-scoring of 9 in the North Coast
Heart rate0-3white-knucklein one-score games (3 of 6)1st most one-score games of 9 in the North Coast
Margin-18.2competitiveavg scoring margin7th best margin of 9 in the North Coast
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among North Coast teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
Wittenberg is the historic D3 power with five national championships, now rebuilding under new leadership after a 4-6 season—the Tigers insist that excellence, not decline, is their identity.
Standard GapA program with 773 wins (2nd all-time among current D3 members), five…
Fans here believe the chip is against complacency. Wittenberg's identity is built on consistency and excellence; a down year is an affront to that identity, not a reflection of it.
Game day
The experience
Wittenberg is the historic D3 power with five national championships, now rebuilding under new leadership after a 4-6 season—the Tigers insist that excellence, not decline, is their identity.
Playoff path
Wittenberg University sits 9th in the North Coast Conference and 223rd of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
North Coast · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Washington St. Louis | 4-0 | 6-0 | 71.1 |
| 2 | DePauw | 4-1 | 5-1 | 64.5 |
| 3 | Denison | 4-1 | 4-2 | 57.4 |
| 4 | Wabash | 3-1 | 4-2 | 56.1 |
| 5 | Ohio Wesleyan | 2-2 | 3-3 | 49.1 |
| 6 | Wooster | 2-3 | 2-4 | 41.8 |
| 7 | Kenyon | 1-3 | 2-4 | 46.3 |
| 9 | Wittenberg | 0-4 | 0-6 | 34.2 |
34.2 CFB Zeitgeist#223 of 245 D356.9 strength of schedule
Win the North Coast Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 0-6
Signature win 13-17 over Kenyon; toughest day 3-49 against John Carroll.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site