Next game
at Wabash
Sat Oct 24 · 1 pm ET
Little Giant Stadium · series 1-1
Washington University (St. Louis) 57% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Washington University (St. Louis)
6-0North Coast · Francis Field (MO) · 4,000 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
W 65-0 at Kenyon
Our model gave Washington University (St. Louis) 87% before kickoff
The rest of the season
One real test left: Wabash 57%
Win out 39% · expect 3.2 of 4 more wins
Washington University (St. Louis)'s chance to win each game left, from our model: Wabash 57%, Denison 85%, Ohio Wesleyan 84%, Wooster 96%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at Wabash · our model 57% Washington University (St. Louis)
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Washington University (St. Louis) · 2026 schedule and results6-0Soft slateAverage opponent win rate 33%.Our rank entering each game: #485 to #476
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #485 | #632 | — | @Rhodes | W 73-0 | 1-0 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #486 | #449 | — | DePauw | W 37-27 | 2-0 | 1-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #482 | #490 | — | @Wittenberg | W 31-24 | 3-0 | 2-0 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #478 | #652 | — | @Oberlin | W 79-0 | 4-0 | 3-0 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #479 | #445 | — | John Carroll | W 35-25 | 5-0 | 3-0 | |
| 6 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 7 | Oct 17 | #476 | #578 | — | @Kenyon | W 65-0 | 6-0 | 4-0 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #474 | #476 | @Wabash | 1 pm ET57% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #473 | #514 | Denison | 2 pm ET85% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | @Ohio Wesleyan | 1 pm ET84% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | Wooster | 2 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Washington University (St. Louis), through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Washington University (St. Louis): a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Washington University (St. Louis) has won six straight.
9-1 over the last 10, and won the last six.
Streak W6Last 5 · 5-0Last 10 · 9-1
Range of outcomes · Washington University (St. Louis) · 2026
Range of outcomes · Washington University (St. Louis) · 2026Washington University (St. Louis)’s most likely regular season is 9-1. 98% of outcomes land from 8-2 to 10-0.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
7 wins 2%; 8 wins 14%; 9 wins 46%; 10 wins 39%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor10-2Competitive but likely outside bracket contention.
Base12-0Conference title contender. Bracket bid realistic.
Ceiling12-0Deep playoff run. Program-defining year.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 6-0
Game feel66shootoutscombined pts / game1st highest-scoring of 9 in the North Coast
Heart rate1-0rarely closein one-score games (1 of 6)8th most one-score games of 9 in the North Coast
Margin+40.7comfortableavg scoring margin1st best margin of 9 in the North Coast
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among North Coast teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
The Bears of St. Louis, who have played football since 1887 at Francis Field — site of the 1904 Olympics — a nationally elite research university that competes as a CCIW football affiliate and wins at a high clip.
Standard GapAn academically elite program with deep history and a strong modern…
WashU has played football since 1887 at the home of the 1904 Olympics and wins at a high rate, yet keeps fighting just to keep a conference seat.
Game day
The experience
The Bears of St. Louis, who have played football since 1887 at Francis Field, site of the 1904 Olympics, a nationally elite research university that competes as a CCIW football affiliate and wins at a high clip.
Playoff path
Washington University (St. Louis) sits 1st in the North Coast Conference and 12th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — in the projected field with a seedable rating.
North Coast · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Washington St. Louis | 4-0 | 6-0 | 71.1 |
| 2 | DePauw | 4-1 | 5-1 | 64.5 |
| 3 | Denison | 4-1 | 4-2 | 57.4 |
| 4 | Wabash | 3-1 | 4-2 | 56.1 |
| 5 | Ohio Wesleyan | 2-2 | 3-3 | 49.1 |
| 6 | Wooster | 2-3 | 2-4 | 41.8 |
| 7 | Kenyon | 1-3 | 2-4 | 46.3 |
| 8 | Oberlin | 0-5 | 0-6 | 34.4 |
71.1 CFB Zeitgeist#12 of 245 D346.2 strength of schedule2 quality wins
Win the North Coast Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 6-0
Signature win 79-0 over Oberlin; toughest day 31-24 against Wittenberg.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site