Next game
at Denison
Sat Oct 24 · 4 pm ET
Deeds Field-Piper Stadium · series 0-4, lost the last 4
Kenyon College 16% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Kenyon College
2-4North Coast · McBride Field · 1,762 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
L 0-65 vs Washington St. Louis
Our model gave Kenyon College 13% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Three real tests left: Wabash 6%, Denison 16%, Ohio Wesleyan 31%
Win out <1% · expect 1.4 of 4 more wins
Kenyon College's chance to win each game left, from our model: Denison 16%, Oberlin 86%, Wabash 6%, Ohio Wesleyan 31%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at Denison · our model 16% Kenyon College
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Kenyon College · 2026 schedule and results2-4Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 55%.Our rank entering each game: #605 to #578
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #605 | #619 | — | @Kalamazoo | W 40-10 | 1-0 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #601 | #559 | — | Wooster | L 19-26 | 1-1 | 0-1 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #597 | #445 | — | @John Carroll | L 7-56 | 1-2 | 0-1 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #596 | #452 | — | DePauw | L 3-31 | 1-3 | 0-2 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #593 | #511 | — | @Wittenberg | W 17-13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | |
| 6 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 7 | Oct 17 | #578 | #476 | — | Washington St. Louis | L 0-65 | 2-4 | 1-3 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #594 | #514 | @Denison | 4 pm ET16% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #594 | #643 | Oberlin | 1 pm ET86% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | @Wabash | 1 pm ET6% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | Ohio Wesleyan | 1 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Kenyon College, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Kenyon College: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Kenyon College has won one of its last five.
2-8 over the last 10, and lost the last one.
Streak L1Last 5 · 1-4Last 10 · 2-8
Range of outcomes · Kenyon College · 2026
Range of outcomes · Kenyon College · 2026Kenyon College’s most likely regular season is 3-7. 86% of outcomes land from 3-7 to 4-6.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
2 wins 8%; 3 wins 52%; 4 wins 34%; 5 wins 6%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor2-10Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base4-8Mid-table finish.
Ceiling7-5Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 2-4
Game feel48even gamescombined pts / game5th highest-scoring of 9 in the North Coast
Heart rate1-1some dramain one-score games (2 of 6)5th most one-score games of 9 in the North Coast
Margin-19.2outgunnedavg scoring margin8th best margin of 9 in the North Coast
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among North Coast teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
Kenyon is the historic program that played Ohio State and beat it in 1890, then lived with that glory—the Owls now rebuild with academic pride and the hope that stability can return.
Standard GapA program with 358 all-time wins, an 1890 victory over Ohio State, and…
Fans here believe the chip is against time. Kenyon's best days were the early era, beating Ohio State in 1890, the undefeated 1950 season, and the program carries the weight of history without the…
Game day
The experience
Kenyon is the historic program that played Ohio State and beat it in 1890, then lived with that glory—the Owls now rebuild with academic pride and the hope that stability can return.
Playoff path
Kenyon College sits 7th in the North Coast Conference and 149th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
North Coast · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Washington St. Louis | 4-0 | 6-0 | 71.1 |
| 2 | DePauw | 4-1 | 5-1 | 64.5 |
| 3 | Denison | 4-1 | 4-2 | 57.4 |
| 4 | Wabash | 3-1 | 4-2 | 56.1 |
| 5 | Ohio Wesleyan | 2-2 | 3-3 | 49.1 |
| 6 | Wooster | 2-3 | 2-4 | 41.8 |
| 7 | Kenyon | 1-3 | 2-4 | 46.3 |
| 8 | Oberlin | 0-5 | 0-6 | 34.4 |
46.3 CFB Zeitgeist#149 of 245 D353.5 strength of schedule
Win the North Coast Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 2-4
Signature win 40-10 over Kalamazoo; toughest day 0-65 against Washington St. Louis.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site