Next game
at John Carroll
Sat Oct 24 · 1 pm ET
Don Shula Stadium at Wasmer Field · series 0-1
Wooster 4% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Wooster
2-4North Coast · John P. Papp Stadium · 4,500 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
W 79-20 vs Oberlin
Our model gave Wooster 76% before kickoff
The rest of the season
4 of 4 games under 70%, the hardest: John Carroll 4%
Win out <1% · expect 0.7 of 4 more wins
Wooster's chance to win each game left, from our model: John Carroll 4%, Wittenberg 59%, DePauw 5%, Washington St. Louis 4%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at John Carroll · our model 4% Wooster
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Wooster · 2026 schedule and results2-4Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 41%.Our rank entering each game: #552 to #585
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | #552 | #603 | — | Wilmington (OH) | L 19-22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #559 | #601 | — | @Kenyon | W 26-19 | 1-1 | 1-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #562 | #501 | — | Denison | L 0-38 | 1-2 | 1-1 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #573 | #470 | — | @Wabash | L 7-34 | 1-3 | 1-2 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #578 | #548 | — | @Ohio Wesleyan | L 0-14 | 1-4 | 1-3 | |
| 6 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 7 | Oct 17 | #585 | #640 | — | Oberlin | W 79-20 | 2-4 | 2-3 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #581 | #445 | @John Carroll | 1 pm ET4% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #581 | #550 | Wittenberg | 1 pm ET59% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | DePauw | 1 pm ET5% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @Washington St. Louis | 2 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Wooster, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Wooster: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Wooster has won two of its last five.
4-6 over the last 10, and won the last one.
Streak W1Last 5 · 2-3Last 10 · 4-6
Range of outcomes · Wooster · 2026
Range of outcomes · Wooster · 2026Wooster’s most likely regular season is 3-7. 93% of outcomes land from 2-8 to 3-7.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
2 wins 36%; 3 wins 57%; 4 wins 7%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor2-10Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base4-8Mid-table finish.
Ceiling7-5Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 2-4
Game feel46even gamescombined pts / game7th highest-scoring of 9 in the North Coast
Heart rate1-1white-knucklein one-score games (2 of 6)2nd most one-score games of 9 in the North Coast
Margin-2.7competitiveavg scoring margin6th best margin of 9 in the North Coast
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among North Coast teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
The Fighting Scots of Wooster, an Ohio liberal-arts college playing since 1889 and a charter North Coast Conference member — the team that beat Ohio State 64-0 in the Buckeyes' first-ever home game.
Standard GapA selective, history-rich small college whose football identity runs…
Wooster once beat Ohio State 64-0 and helped found its conference, and the football world treats a small Ohio college like it never had a moment worth remembering.
Game day
The experience
The Fighting Scots of Wooster, an Ohio liberal-arts college playing since 1889 and a charter North Coast Conference member — the team that beat Ohio State 64-0 in the Buckeyes' first-ever home game.
Playoff path
Wooster sits 6th in the North Coast Conference and 180th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
North Coast · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Washington St. Louis | 4-0 | 6-0 | 71.1 |
| 2 | DePauw | 4-1 | 5-1 | 64.5 |
| 3 | Denison | 4-1 | 4-2 | 57.4 |
| 4 | Wabash | 3-1 | 4-2 | 56.1 |
| 5 | Ohio Wesleyan | 2-2 | 3-3 | 49.1 |
| 6 | Wooster | 2-3 | 2-4 | 41.8 |
| 7 | Kenyon | 1-3 | 2-4 | 46.3 |
| 8 | Oberlin | 0-5 | 0-6 | 34.4 |
41.8 CFB Zeitgeist#180 of 245 D347.6 strength of schedule
Win the North Coast Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 2-4
Signature win 79-20 over Oberlin; toughest day 0-38 against Denison.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site