Next game
vs Ursinus
Sat Oct 24 · 1 pm ET
Shadek Stadium · series 2-2-1
Franklin & Marshall 58% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Franklin & Marshall
5-1Centennial · Shadek Stadium · 2,500 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
W 17-7 vs Dickinson
Our model gave Franklin & Marshall 61% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Two real tests left: Ursinus 58%, Carnegie Mellon 58%
Win out 26% · expect 2.9 of 4 more wins
Franklin & Marshall's chance to win each game left, from our model: Ursinus 58%, McDaniel 98%, Carnegie Mellon 58%, Johns Hopkins 79%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line vs Ursinus · our model 58% Franklin & Marshall
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Franklin & Marshall · 2026 schedule and results5-1Soft slateAverage opponent win rate 34%.Our rank entering each game: #501 to #495
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 4 | #501 | #540 | — | Lebanon Valley | W 31-7 | 1-0 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #500 | #492 | — | @Westminster (PA) | W 45-8 | 2-0 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #491 | #609 | — | @Catholic | W 31-17 | 3-0 | 0-0 | |
| 4 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 5 | Oct 3 | #492 | #615 | — | Gettysburg | W 29-0 | 4-0 | 1-0 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #490 | #502 | — | @Muhlenberg | L 28-31 | 4-1 | 1-1 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #495 | #447 | — | Dickinson | W 17-7 | 5-1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #470 | #495 | Ursinus | 1 pm ET58% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #474 | #636 | @McDaniel | 1 pm ET98% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Carnegie Mellon | 12 pm ET58% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 13 | @Johns Hopkins | 7 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Franklin & Marshall, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Franklin & Marshall: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Franklin & Marshall has won four of its last five.
8-2 over the last 10, and won the last one.
Streak W1Last 5 · 4-1Last 10 · 8-2
Range of outcomes · Franklin & Marshall · 2026
Range of outcomes · Franklin & Marshall · 2026Franklin & Marshall’s most likely regular season is 8-2. 96% of outcomes land from 7-3 to 9-1.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
6 wins 4%; 7 wins 25%; 8 wins 45%; 9 wins 26%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor8-4Competitive but likely outside bracket contention.
Base10-2Conference title contender. Bracket bid realistic.
Ceiling11-1Deep playoff run. Program-defining year.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 5-1
Game feel42rock fightscombined pts / game7th highest-scoring of 7 in the Centennial
Heart rate0-1white-knucklein one-score games (1 of 6)2nd most one-score games of 7 in the Centennial
Margin+18.5comfortableavg scoring margin2nd best margin of 7 in the Centennial
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among Centennial teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind·Written June 2026
Franklin & Marshall just made its first NCAA Division III playoff appearance in program history in 2025 — a breakthrough that rewrites what a 15-conference-championship school thought it could be.
Title DroughtSince 2025 · 1 yrs
Fans here believe the chip is the record itself: 15 conference titles with zero NCAA playoff appearances. F&M was the program everyone underestimated, and 2025 is the proof of disrespect.
Game day
The experience
Franklin & Marshall just made its first NCAA Division III playoff appearance in program history in 2025 — a breakthrough that rewrites what a 15-conference-championship school thought it could be.
Playoff path
Franklin & Marshall sits 3rd in the Centennial Conference and 51st of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — on the at-large bubble — the conference title is the surer route.
Centennial · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ursinus | 3-0 | 6-0 | 68.2 |
| 2 | Dickinson | 2-1 | 4-2 | 62.3 |
| 3 | Franklin & Marshall | 2-1 | 5-1 | 61.5 |
| 4 | Muhlenberg | 2-1 | 4-2 | 59.0 |
| 5 | Johns Hopkins | 1-2 | 2-5 | 46.0 |
| 6 | Gettysburg | 0-3 | 2-5 | 42.6 |
| 7 | McDaniel | 0-2 | 1-5 | 38.6 |
61.5 CFB Zeitgeist#51 of 245 D346.7 strength of schedule1 quality win
Win the Centennial Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 5-1
Signature win 45-8 over Westminster (PA); toughest day 28-31 against Muhlenberg.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site