Next game
vs Widener
Sat Oct 24 · 1 pm ET
Arnold Field (PA) · series 2-2
Lebanon Valley College 57% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Lebanon Valley College
0-6Mid Atlantic · Arnold Field (PA) · 2,000 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
L 10-21 at King’s
Our model gave Lebanon Valley College 43% before kickoff
The rest of the season
4 of 4 games under 70%, the hardest: Misericordia 15%
Win out 2% · expect 1.7 of 4 more wins
Lebanon Valley College's chance to win each game left, from our model: Widener 57%, Misericordia 15%, FDU Florham 70%, Albright 31%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line vs Widener · our model 57% Lebanon Valley College
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Lebanon Valley College · 2026 schedule and results0-6Hard slateAverage opponent win rate 63%.Our rank entering each game: #540 to #567
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 4 | #540 | #501 | — | @Franklin & Marshall | L 7-31 | 0-1 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #544 | #489 | — | Delaware Valley | L 17-18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #543 | #523 | — | @Eastern | L 0-32 | 0-3 | 0-2 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #552 | #635 | — | @Alvernia | L 10-13 | 0-4 | 0-3 | |
| 5 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 6 | Oct 10 | #569 | #528 | — | Stevenson | L 24-27 | 0-5 | 0-4 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #567 | #570 | — | @King's | L 10-21 | 0-6 | 0-5 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #572 | #598 | Widener | 1 pm ET57% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #572 | #547 | @Misericordia | 1 pm ET15% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | @FDU Florham | 12 pm ET70% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | Albright | 1 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Lebanon Valley College, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Lebanon Valley College: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Lebanon Valley College has lost seven straight.
2-8 over the last 10, and lost the last seven.
Streak L7Last 5 · 0-5Last 10 · 2-8
Range of outcomes · Lebanon Valley College · 2026
Range of outcomes · Lebanon Valley College · 2026Lebanon Valley College’s most likely regular season is 2-8. 91% of outcomes land from 1-9 to 3-7.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
0 wins 8%; 1 wins 32%; 2 wins 41%; 3 wins 17%; 4 wins 2%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor0-12Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base0-12Mid-table finish.
Ceiling3-9Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 0-6
Game feel35rock fightscombined pts / game9th highest-scoring of 10 in the Mid Atlantic
Heart rate0-3some dramain one-score games (3 of 6)8th most one-score games of 10 in the Mid Atlantic
Margin-12.3outgunnedavg scoring margin9th best margin of 10 in the Mid Atlantic
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among Mid Atlantic teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
Lebanon Valley is the Flying Dutchman—a historic 1897 program in Annville, PA, holding its own against newer MAC powers while proving the oldest colleges build the deepest wells of football culture.
Title DroughtSince 2011 · 15 yrs
Fans here believe no villain—just the drive to prove that institutional heritage matters, that 129 years of football history confer something real: the ability to compete against younger…
Game day
The experience
Lebanon Valley is the Flying Dutchman—a historic 1897 program in Annville, PA, holding its own against newer MAC powers while proving the oldest colleges build the deepest wells of football culture.
Playoff path
Lebanon Valley College sits 9th in the Mid Atlantic Conference and 231st of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
Mid Atlantic · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eastern | 5-0 | 5-1 | 62.7 |
| 2 | Misericordia | 4-1 | 5-1 | 61.0 |
| 3 | Delaware Valley | 4-1 | 4-2 | 56.0 |
| 4 | Stevenson | 3-2 | 4-2 | 53.1 |
| 5 | Alvernia | 3-2 | 3-3 | 46.0 |
| 6 | Albright | 2-3 | 3-3 | 46.4 |
| 7 | Widener | 2-3 | 2-4 | 41.3 |
| 9 | Lebanon Valley | 0-5 | 0-6 | 32.0 |
32.0 CFB Zeitgeist#231 of 245 D353.3 strength of schedule
Win the Mid Atlantic Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 0-6
Signature win 17-18 over Delaware Valley; toughest day 0-32 against Eastern.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site