Next game
vs Albright
Sat Oct 24 · 1 pm ET
Mustang Stadium · series 3-0, won the last 3
Stevenson University 55% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Stevenson University
4-2Mid Atlantic · Mustang Stadium · 3,500 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
L 30-40 vs Delaware Valley
Our model gave Stevenson University 60% before kickoff
The rest of the season
4 of 4 games under 70%, the hardest: Eastern 19%
Win out 5% · expect 2.1 of 4 more wins
Stevenson University's chance to win each game left, from our model: Albright 55%, Widener 70%, Eastern 19%, Alvernia 66%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line vs Albright · our model 55% Stevenson University
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Stevenson University · 2026 schedule and results4-2Soft slateAverage opponent win rate 36%.Our rank entering each game: #533 to #530
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 4 | #533 | #499 | — | Bridgewater | W 17-0 | 1-0 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 11 | #532 | #541 | — | @King's | W 26-21 | 2-0 | 1-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #529 | #567 | — | @Misericordia | L 24-28 | 2-1 | 1-1 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #531 | #606 | — | FDU Florham | W 42-14 | 3-1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 6 | Oct 10 | #528 | #569 | — | @Lebanon Valley | W 27-24 | 4-1 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #530 | #519 | — | Delaware Valley | L 30-40 | 4-2 | 3-2 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #536 | #571 | Albright | 1 pm ET55% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #536 | #598 | @Widener | 1 pm ET70% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | @Eastern | 12:30 pm ET19% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | Alvernia | 1 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Stevenson University, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Stevenson University: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Stevenson University has won three of its last five.
6-4 over the last 10, and lost the last one.
Streak L1Last 5 · 3-2Last 10 · 6-4
Range of outcomes · Stevenson University · 2026
Range of outcomes · Stevenson University · 2026Stevenson University’s most likely regular season is 6-4. 91% of outcomes land from 5-5 to 7-3.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
4 wins 4%; 5 wins 21%; 6 wins 41%; 7 wins 29%; 8 wins 5%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor6-6Competitive but likely outside bracket contention.
Base8-4Conference title contender. Bracket bid realistic.
Ceiling10-2Deep playoff run. Program-defining year.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 4-2
Game feel49shootoutscombined pts / game1st highest-scoring of 10 in the Mid Atlantic
Heart rate2-1some dramain one-score games (3 of 6)7th most one-score games of 10 in the Mid Atlantic
Margin+6.5competitiveavg scoring margin5th best margin of 10 in the Mid Atlantic
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among Mid Atlantic teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
Stevenson is the Mustang built on elite facilities and institutional commitment, running to the MAC Championship game in 2025 before losing to Eastern, now rebuilding with new coaching leadership.
Title DroughtSince 2010 · 16 yrs
Fans here believe no external villain—just the internal hunger to prove that the Mustangs aren't cursed, that the facilities and commitment will eventually yield a championship, not just competitive…
Game day
The experience
Stevenson is the Mustang built on elite facilities and institutional commitment, running to the MAC Championship game in 2025 before losing to Eastern, now rebuilding with new coaching leadership.
Playoff path
Stevenson University sits 4th in the Mid Atlantic Conference and 99th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
Mid Atlantic · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eastern | 5-0 | 5-1 | 62.7 |
| 2 | Misericordia | 4-1 | 5-1 | 61.0 |
| 3 | Delaware Valley | 4-1 | 4-2 | 56.0 |
| 4 | Stevenson | 3-2 | 4-2 | 53.1 |
| 5 | Alvernia | 3-2 | 3-3 | 46.0 |
| 6 | Albright | 2-3 | 3-3 | 46.4 |
| 7 | Widener | 2-3 | 2-4 | 41.3 |
| 8 | King's | 2-3 | 2-4 | 40.5 |
53.1 CFB Zeitgeist#99 of 245 D344.2 strength of schedule
Win the Mid Atlantic Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 4-2
Signature win 42-14 over FDU Florham; toughest day 30-40 against Delaware Valley.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site