Next game
vs Averett
Sat Oct 24 · 2 pm ET
series 1-0
Roanoke College 93% to win · our ratings after 5 games
Roanoke College
3-2Unclassified · Salem Stadium
Last game · Sat Oct 17
L 24-30 at Shenandoah
Our model gave Roanoke College 42% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Two real tests left: Randolph Macon 27%, Washington and Lee 70%
Win out 16% · expect 2.8 of 4 more wins
Roanoke College's chance to win each game left, from our model: Averett 93%, Bridgewater 91%, Randolph Macon 27%, Washington and Lee 70%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line vs Averett · our model 93% Roanoke College
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Roanoke College · 2026 schedule and results3-2
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sep 12 | — | #612 | — | Greensboro | W 28-14 | 1-0 | — | |
| 3 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 4 | Sep 26 | — | #664 | — | @Gallaudet | W 52-0 | 2-0 | — | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | — | #654 | — | @Guilford | W 52-24 | 3-0 | — | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | — | #464 | — | Hampden Sydney | L 33-39 | 3-1 | — | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | — | #483 | — | @Shenandoah | L 24-30 | 3-2 | — | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #614 | Averett | 2 pm ET93% to win | |||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #552 | Bridgewater | 2 pm ET91% to win | |||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | @Randolph Macon | 1 pm ET27% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | Washington and Lee | 2 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Roanoke College, through 5 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Roanoke College: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Roanoke College has won three of its last five.
5-5 over the last 10, and lost the last two.
Streak L2Last 5 · 3-2Last 10 · 5-5
Range of outcomes · Roanoke College · 2026
Range of outcomes · Roanoke College · 2026Roanoke College’s most likely regular season is 6-3. 96% of outcomes land from 5-4 to 7-2.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
4 wins 3%; 5 wins 27%; 6 wins 53%; 7 wins 16%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor5-7Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base7-5Mid-table finish.
Ceiling10-2Deep playoff run. Program-defining year.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 5 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 3-2
Game feel59even gamescombined pts / game3rd highest-scoring of 7 in the Unclassified
Heart rate0-2white-knucklein one-score games (2 of 5)2nd most one-score games of 7 in the Unclassified
Margin+16.4comfortableavg scoring margin1st best margin of 7 in the Unclassified
Measured from 5 games · ranks are among Unclassified teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
Roanoke College enters the 2026 season at 3-2.
2026 Record3-2
Game day
The experience
Roanoke College is the Unclassified program known for its faithful following.
Playoff path
Roanoke College sits 1st in the Unclassified Conference and 112th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
Unclassified · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roanoke College | 0-0 | 3-2 | 51.9 |
| 2 | Schreiner | 0-0 | 3-4 | 47.9 |
| 3 | New England College | 0-0 | 1-5 | 33.2 |
51.9 CFB Zeitgeist#112 of 245 D345.1 strength of schedule
Win the Unclassified Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 3-2
Signature win 52-0 over Gallaudet; toughest day 33-39 against Hampden Sydney.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site