Next game
at Roanoke College
Sat Oct 24 · 2 pm ET
series 0-1
Averett University 7% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Old Dominion · Daly Field at Frank R. Campbell Stadium · 1,200 seats
Next game
Sat Oct 24 · 2 pm ET
series 0-1
Averett University 7% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Last game · Sat Oct 17
Our model gave Averett University 13% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Three real tests left: Hampden Sydney 3%, Roanoke College 7%, Bridgewater 39%
Win out <1% · expect 1.2 of 4 more wins
Averett University's chance to win each game left, from our model: Roanoke College 7%, Hampden Sydney 3%, Guilford 73%, Bridgewater 39%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #629 | #577 | — | North Carolina Wesleyan | L 13-27 | 0-1 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #628 | #589 | — | @Southern Virginia | W 41-34 | 1-1 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #628 | #662 | — | Gallaudet | W 55-19 | 2-1 | 0-0 | |
| 4 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 5 | Oct 3 | #614 | #477 | — | @Washington and Lee | L 7-34 | 2-2 | 0-1 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #616 | #483 | — | Shenandoah | L 20-38 | 2-3 | 0-2 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #609 | #441 | — | Randolph Macon | L 7-42 | 2-4 | 0-3 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #614 | @Roanoke College | 2 pm ET7% to win | |||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #614 | #464 | @Hampden Sydney | 1 pm ET3% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Guilford | 1 pm ET73% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @Bridgewater | 2 pm ET | ||||||
Win chances are our model for Averett University, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Averett University: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
3-7 over the last 10, and lost the last three.
Range of outcomes · Averett University · 2026
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
2 wins 15%; 3 wins 52%; 4 wins 31%; 5 wins 3%Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
What it is like to watch them2026 · 2-4
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among Old Dominion teams the same season
A small Virginia liberal-arts school that builds character through football, not championships.
A small Virginia liberal-arts school that builds character through football, not championships.
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hampden Sydney | 2-0 | 5-1 | 64.3 |
| 2 | Randolph Macon | 2-1 | 4-2 | 56.5 |
| 3 | Washington and Lee | 2-1 | 4-2 | 54.1 |
| 4 | Bridgewater | 2-1 | 2-4 | 44.7 |
| 5 | Shenandoah | 1-1 | 4-2 | 57.2 |
| 6 | Averett | 0-3 | 2-4 | 40.6 |
| 7 | Guilford | 0-2 | 1-5 | 35.8 |
Win the Old Dominion Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Signature win 55-19 over Gallaudet; toughest day 7-42 against Randolph Macon.
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.