Next game
at Bridgewater
Sat Oct 24 · 2 pm ET
Jopson Athletic Complex · series 1-3
Shenandoah University 88% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Shenandoah University
4-2Old Dominion · Shentel Stadium · 3,000 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
W 30-24 vs Roanoke College
Our model gave Shenandoah University 58% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Two real tests left: Randolph Macon 41%, Washington and Lee 63%
Win out 22% · expect 2.9 of 4 more wins
Shenandoah University's chance to win each game left, from our model: Bridgewater 88%, Randolph Macon 41%, Washington and Lee 63%, Guilford 98%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at Bridgewater · our model 88% Shenandoah University
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Shenandoah University · 2026 schedule and results4-2Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 54%.Our rank entering each game: #472 to #483
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 4 | #472 | #654 | — | @Methodist | W 30-3 | 1-0 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #471 | #553 | — | Geneva | W 48-14 | 2-0 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #469 | #520 | — | @Case Western Reserve | L 41-48 | 2-1 | 0-0 | |
| 4 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 5 | Oct 3 | #474 | #465 | — | Hampden Sydney | L 14-30 | 2-2 | 0-1 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #483 | #616 | — | @Averett | W 38-20 | 3-2 | 1-1 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #483 | — | — | Roanoke College | W 30-24 | 4-2 | 1-1 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #491 | #552 | @Bridgewater | 2 pm ET88% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #492 | #432 | Randolph Macon | 1 pm ET41% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | @Washington and Lee | 1 pm ET63% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | Guilford | 1 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Shenandoah University, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Shenandoah University: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Shenandoah University has won three of its last five.
6-4 over the last 10, and won the last two.
Streak W2Last 5 · 3-2Last 10 · 6-4
Range of outcomes · Shenandoah University · 2026
Range of outcomes · Shenandoah University · 2026Shenandoah University’s most likely regular season is 7-3. 97% of outcomes land from 6-4 to 8-2.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
5 wins 3%; 6 wins 26%; 7 wins 48%; 8 wins 22%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor6-6Competitive but likely outside bracket contention.
Base8-4Conference title contender. Bracket bid realistic.
Ceiling10-2Deep playoff run. Program-defining year.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 4-2
Game feel57shootoutscombined pts / game2nd highest-scoring of 7 in the Old Dominion
Heart rate1-1rarely closein one-score games (2 of 6)6th most one-score games of 7 in the Old Dominion
Margin+10.3competitiveavg scoring margin3rd best margin of 7 in the Old Dominion
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among Old Dominion teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
A Virginia university in the Shenandoah Valley with ODAC football rooted in regional competition and educational values.
Standard GapD3 identity within the Shenandoah Valley regional community.
Game day
The experience
A Virginia university in the Shenandoah Valley with ODAC football rooted in regional competition and educational values.
Playoff path
Shenandoah University sits 5th in the Old Dominion Conference and 78th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
Old Dominion · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hampden Sydney | 2-0 | 5-1 | 64.3 |
| 2 | Randolph Macon | 2-1 | 4-2 | 56.5 |
| 3 | Washington and Lee | 2-1 | 4-2 | 54.1 |
| 4 | Bridgewater | 2-1 | 2-4 | 44.7 |
| 5 | Shenandoah | 1-1 | 4-2 | 57.2 |
| 6 | Averett | 0-3 | 2-4 | 40.6 |
| 7 | Guilford | 0-2 | 1-5 | 35.8 |
57.2 CFB Zeitgeist#78 of 245 D350.8 strength of schedule
Win the Old Dominion Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 4-2
Signature win 48-14 over Geneva; toughest day 14-30 against Hampden Sydney.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site