Next game
at North Carolina Wesleyan
Sat Oct 24 · 6 pm ET
Stallings Field · series 1-3, lost the last 3
Methodist University 14% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Methodist University
1-5USA South · Monarch Stadium · 800 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
L 0-36 vs Southern Virginia
Our model gave Methodist University 31% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Underdogs in all 4 games left, best shot: Greensboro 18%
Win out <1% · expect 0.5 of 4 more wins
Methodist University's chance to win each game left, from our model: North Carolina Wesleyan 14%, Belhaven 14%, Brevard 1%, Greensboro 18%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at North Carolina Wesleyan · our model 14% Methodist University
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Methodist University · 2026 schedule and results1-5Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 48%.Our rank entering each game: #654 to #651
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 4 | #654 | #472 | — | Shenandoah | L 3-30 | 0-1 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #651 | #630 | — | @Guilford | L 17-20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 4 | Sep 26 | #651 | #585 | — | @Apprentice School | W 27-22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #645 | #486 | — | Huntingdon | L 6-31 | 1-3 | 0-1 | |
| 6 | Oct 9 | #644 | #442 | — | @LaGrange | L 0-35 | 1-4 | 0-2 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #651 | #596 | — | Southern Virginia | L 0-36 | 1-5 | 0-3 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #659 | #586 | @North Carolina Wesleyan | 6 pm ET14% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #659 | #539 | Belhaven | 1 pm ET14% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | @Brevard | 12 pm ET1% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | Greensboro | 6 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Methodist University, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Methodist University: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Methodist University has won one of its last five.
1-9 over the last 10, and lost the last three.
Streak L3Last 5 · 1-4Last 10 · 1-9
Range of outcomes · Methodist University · 2026
Range of outcomes · Methodist University · 2026Methodist University’s most likely regular season is 1-9. 94% of outcomes land from 1-9 to 2-8.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
1 wins 60%; 2 wins 33%; 3 wins 6%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor1-11Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base2-10Mid-table finish.
Ceiling5-7Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 1-5
Game feel38rock fightscombined pts / game9th highest-scoring of 9 in the USA South
Heart rate1-1white-knucklein one-score games (2 of 6)2nd most one-score games of 9 in the USA South
Margin-20.2outgunnedavg scoring margin9th best margin of 9 in the USA South
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among USA South teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
A North Carolina Methodist university with USA South football rooted in faith, values, and regional competition.
Standard GapD3 identity within North Carolina's USA South conference.
Game day
The experience
A North Carolina Methodist university with USA South football rooted in faith, values, and regional competition.
Playoff path
Methodist University sits 9th in the USA South Conference and 207th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
USA South · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LaGrange | 3-0 | 5-1 | 64.1 |
| 2 | Huntingdon | 3-0 | 4-2 | 58.1 |
| 3 | Brevard | 2-1 | 5-1 | 58.8 |
| 4 | Belhaven | 2-1 | 3-3 | 50.1 |
| 5 | Greensboro | 1-2 | 2-4 | 43.0 |
| 6 | Southern Virginia | 1-2 | 2-4 | 41.4 |
| 7 | Maryville (TN) | 0-0 | 4-3 | 56.0 |
| 9 | Methodist | 0-3 | 1-5 | 36.9 |
36.9 CFB Zeitgeist#207 of 245 D349.3 strength of schedule
Win the USA South Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 1-5
Signature win 27-22 over Apprentice School; toughest day 0-36 against Southern Virginia.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site