Next game
vs Southern Virginia
Sat Oct 24 · 1 pm ET
Belhaven Bowl Stadium · series 4-0, won the last 4
Belhaven University 57% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Belhaven University
3-3USA South · Belhaven Bowl Stadium · 1,200 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
W 19-10 at Greensboro
Our model gave Belhaven University 38% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Three real tests left: LaGrange 18%, Huntingdon 31%, Southern Virginia 57%
Win out 3% · expect 1.9 of 4 more wins
Belhaven University's chance to win each game left, from our model: Southern Virginia 57%, Methodist 86%, LaGrange 18%, Huntingdon 31%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line vs Southern Virginia · our model 57% Belhaven University
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Belhaven University · 2026 schedule and results3-3Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 54%.Our rank entering each game: #490 to #547
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | #490 | #555 | — | @Millsaps | L 20-36 | 0-1 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #496 | #507 | — | East Texas Baptist | W 45-44 | 1-1 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #499 | #467 | — | Central College | L 17-31 | 1-2 | 0-0 | |
| 4 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 5 | Oct 3 | #517 | #433 | — | @Brevard | L 8-51 | 1-3 | 0-1 | |
| 6 | Oct 9 | #558 | #559 | — | North Carolina Wesleyan | W 35-21 | 2-3 | 1-1 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #547 | #574 | — | @Greensboro | W 19-10 | 3-3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #539 | #576 | Southern Virginia | 1 pm ET57% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #539 | #659 | @Methodist | 1 pm ET86% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | LaGrange | 1 pm ET18% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @Huntingdon | 2 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Belhaven University, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Belhaven University: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Belhaven University has won three of its last five.
5-5 over the last 10, and won the last two.
Streak W2Last 5 · 3-2Last 10 · 5-5
Range of outcomes · Belhaven University · 2026
Range of outcomes · Belhaven University · 2026Belhaven University’s most likely regular season is 5-5. 94% of outcomes land from 4-6 to 6-4.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
3 wins 3%; 4 wins 27%; 5 wins 45%; 6 wins 21%; 7 wins 3%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor4-8Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base6-6Mid-table finish.
Ceiling9-3Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 3-3
Game feel56shootoutscombined pts / game2nd highest-scoring of 9 in the USA South
Heart rate1-0some dramain one-score games (1 of 6)5th most one-score games of 9 in the USA South
Margin-8.2outgunnedavg scoring margin8th best margin of 9 in the USA South
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among USA South teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
A Mississippi Christian university with USA South football rooted in faith, community, and regional competition.
Standard GapD3 identity within Mississippi's USA South conference.
Game day
The experience
A Mississippi Christian university with USA South football rooted in faith, community, and regional competition.
Playoff path
Belhaven University sits 4th in the USA South Conference and 122nd of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
USA South · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LaGrange | 3-0 | 5-1 | 64.1 |
| 2 | Huntingdon | 3-0 | 4-2 | 58.1 |
| 3 | Brevard | 2-1 | 5-1 | 58.8 |
| 4 | Belhaven | 2-1 | 3-3 | 50.1 |
| 5 | Greensboro | 1-2 | 2-4 | 43.0 |
| 6 | Southern Virginia | 1-2 | 2-4 | 41.4 |
| 7 | Maryville (TN) | 0-0 | 4-3 | 56.0 |
| 8 | North Carolina Wesleyan | 0-3 | 2-4 | 42.5 |
50.1 CFB Zeitgeist#122 of 245 D351.1 strength of schedule
Win the USA South Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 3-3
Signature win 35-21 over North Carolina Wesleyan; toughest day 8-51 against Brevard.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site