Next game
vs Methodist
Sat Oct 24 · 6 pm ET
Stallings Field · series 3-1, won the last 3
North Carolina Wesleyan 86% to win · our ratings after 6 games
North Carolina Wesleyan
2-4USA South · Stallings Field
Last game · Sat Oct 17
L 3-17 vs Huntingdon
Our model gave North Carolina Wesleyan 43% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Three real tests left: Brevard 16%, Southern Virginia 35%, Greensboro 40%
Win out 2% · expect 1.8 of 4 more wins
North Carolina Wesleyan's chance to win each game left, from our model: Methodist 86%, Southern Virginia 35%, Greensboro 40%, Brevard 16%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line vs Methodist · our model 86% North Carolina Wesleyan
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
North Carolina Wesleyan · 2026 schedule and results2-4Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 45%.Our rank entering each game: #577 to #571
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #577 | #629 | — | @Averett | W 27-13 | 1-0 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #576 | #575 | — | Apprentice School | W 42-0 | 2-0 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #565 | #623 | — | @Sewanee | L 17-24 | 2-1 | 0-0 | |
| 4 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 5 | Oct 3 | #565 | #442 | — | LaGrange | L 31-41 | 2-2 | 0-1 | |
| 6 | Oct 9 | #559 | #558 | — | @Belhaven | L 21-35 | 2-3 | 0-2 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #571 | #499 | — | Huntingdon | L 3-17 | 2-4 | 0-3 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #586 | #659 | Methodist | 6 pm ET86% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #586 | #575 | @Southern Virginia | 1 pm ET35% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | @Greensboro | 1 pm ET40% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | Brevard | 12 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for North Carolina Wesleyan, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for North Carolina Wesleyan: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
North Carolina Wesleyan has won one of its last five.
3-7 over the last 10, and lost the last four.
Streak L4Last 5 · 1-4Last 10 · 3-7
Range of outcomes · North Carolina Wesleyan · 2026
Range of outcomes · North Carolina Wesleyan · 2026North Carolina Wesleyan’s most likely regular season is 4-6. 94% of outcomes land from 3-7 to 5-5.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
2 wins 4%; 3 wins 35%; 4 wins 42%; 5 wins 17%; 6 wins 2%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor2-10Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base4-8Mid-table finish.
Ceiling7-5Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 2-4
Game feel45even gamescombined pts / game7th highest-scoring of 9 in the USA South
Heart rate0-1some dramain one-score games (1 of 6)6th most one-score games of 9 in the USA South
Margin+1.8competitiveavg scoring margin3rd best margin of 9 in the USA South
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among USA South teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
The Battling Bishops of Rocky Mount, North Carolina, a small Methodist university competing in the USA South Athletic Conference, playing under the lights at Bradley Stadium for pride in the Carolina small-college ranks.
Standard GapA small Methodist program whose football is measured in toughness and…
North Carolina Wesleyan is a small Methodist university whose football rarely gets noticed beyond eastern North Carolina.
Game day
The experience
The Battling Bishops of Rocky Mount, North Carolina, a small Methodist university competing in the USA South Athletic Conference, playing under the lights at Bradley Stadium for pride in the Carolina small-college ranks.
Playoff path
North Carolina Wesleyan sits 8th in the USA South Conference and 176th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
USA South · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LaGrange | 3-0 | 5-1 | 64.1 |
| 2 | Huntingdon | 3-0 | 4-2 | 58.1 |
| 3 | Brevard | 2-1 | 5-1 | 58.8 |
| 4 | Belhaven | 2-1 | 3-3 | 50.1 |
| 5 | Greensboro | 1-2 | 2-4 | 43.0 |
| 6 | Southern Virginia | 1-2 | 2-4 | 41.4 |
| 7 | Maryville (TN) | 0-0 | 4-3 | 56.0 |
| 8 | North Carolina Wesleyan | 0-3 | 2-4 | 42.5 |
42.5 CFB Zeitgeist#176 of 245 D348.0 strength of schedule
Win the USA South Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 2-4
Signature win 42-0 over Apprentice School; toughest day 21-35 against Belhaven.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
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