Next game
at Centre
Sat Oct 24 · 1 pm ET
Farris Stadium · series 0-7, lost the last 7
University of the South 5% to win · our ratings after 6 games
University of the South
1-5Southern Athletic · Hardee-McGee Field · 3,000 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
L 14-62 vs Millsaps
Our model gave University of the South 8% before kickoff
The rest of the season
4 of 4 games under 70%, the hardest: Trinity (TX) 1%
Win out <1% · expect 0.7 of 4 more wins
University of the South's chance to win each game left, from our model: Centre 5%, Trinity (TX) 1%, Rhodes 63%, Berry 1%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at Centre · our model 5% University of the South
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
University of the South · 2026 schedule and results1-5Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 51%.Our rank entering each game: #627 to #644
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #627 | #650 | — | Bethany (WV) | L 37-40 | 0-1 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #632 | #448 | — | @Brevard | L 14-39 | 0-2 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #623 | #565 | — | North Carolina Wesleyan | W 24-17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | |
| 4 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 5 | Oct 3 | #619 | #537 | — | Southwestern U | L 21-42 | 1-3 | 0-1 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #632 | #475 | — | @Maryville (TN) | L 13-51 | 1-4 | 0-1 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #644 | #526 | — | Millsaps | L 14-62 | 1-5 | 0-2 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #646 | #501 | @Centre | 1 pm ET5% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #646 | #441 | @Trinity (TX) | 2 pm ET1% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Rhodes | 2 pm ET63% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @Berry | 2 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for University of the South, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for University of the South: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
University of the South has won one of its last five.
2-8 over the last 10, and lost the last three.
Streak L3Last 5 · 1-4Last 10 · 2-8
Range of outcomes · University of the South · 2026
Range of outcomes · University of the South · 2026University of the South’s most likely regular season is 2-8. 96% of outcomes land from 1-9 to 2-8.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
1 wins 35%; 2 wins 61%; 3 wins 4%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor1-11Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base2-10Mid-table finish.
Ceiling5-7Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 1-5
Game feel62shootoutscombined pts / game1st highest-scoring of 8 in the Southern Athletic
Heart rate1-1white-knucklein one-score games (2 of 6)2nd most one-score games of 8 in the Southern Athletic
Margin-21.3outgunnedavg scoring margin7th best margin of 8 in the Southern Athletic
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among Southern Athletic teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
Sewanee is the Gothic mountaintop university that was once an SEC founding member, chose academics over football, and now plays D3 because the Oxford of the South values the mind before the game.
Standard GapA unique institution that walked away from big-time football on…
No chip — the fanbase plays for the university and its students, not against anyone.
Game day
The experience
Sewanee is the Gothic mountaintop university that was once an SEC founding member, chose academics over football, and now plays D3 because the Oxford of the South values the mind before the game.
Playoff path
University of the South sits 7th in the Southern Athletic Conference and 215th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
Southern Athletic · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trinity (TX) | 2-0 | 5-1 | 64.0 |
| 2 | Hendrix | 1-0 | 4-2 | 58.1 |
| 3 | Millsaps | 3-1 | 5-1 | 58.5 |
| 4 | Berry | 2-1 | 5-1 | 65.6 |
| 5 | Centre | 1-1 | 2-4 | 44.1 |
| 6 | Southwestern U | 1-2 | 1-5 | 40.0 |
| 7 | Sewanee | 0-2 | 1-5 | 35.7 |
| 8 | Rhodes | 0-3 | 0-6 | 33.4 |
35.7 CFB Zeitgeist#215 of 245 D350.0 strength of schedule
Win the Southern Athletic Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 1-5
Signature win 24-17 over North Carolina Wesleyan; toughest day 14-62 against Millsaps.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site