Next game
vs Sewanee
Sat Oct 24 · 1 pm ET
Farris Stadium · series 7-0, won the last 7
Centre College Kentucky 95% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Centre College Kentucky
2-4Southern Athletic · Farris Stadium · 3,000 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
W 63-20 vs Rhodes
Our model gave Centre College Kentucky 93% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Two real tests left: Berry 18%, Trinity (TX) 23%
Win out 3% · expect 2.1 of 4 more wins
Centre College Kentucky's chance to win each game left, from our model: Sewanee 95%, Berry 18%, Trinity (TX) 23%, Southwestern U 71%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line vs Sewanee · our model 95% Centre College Kentucky
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Centre College Kentucky · 2026 schedule and results2-4Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 56%.Our rank entering each game: #491 to #517
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #491 | #449 | — | @Hanover | L 0-17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 3 | Sep 19 | #489 | #442 | — | LaGrange | L 14-16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #496 | #510 | — | Bridgewater | W 45-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #485 | #470 | — | Maryville (TN) | L 21-27 | 1-3 | 0-0 | |
| 6 | Oct 9 | #496 | #536 | — | @Millsaps | L 13-28 | 1-4 | 0-1 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #517 | #635 | — | Rhodes | W 63-20 | 2-4 | 1-1 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #501 | #646 | Sewanee | 1 pm ET95% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #503 | #430 | @Berry | 1 pm ET18% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Trinity (TX) | 1 pm ET23% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @Southwestern U | 12 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Centre College Kentucky, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Centre College Kentucky: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Centre College Kentucky has won two of its last five.
4-6 over the last 10, and won the last one.
Streak W1Last 5 · 2-3Last 10 · 4-6
Range of outcomes · Centre College Kentucky · 2026
Range of outcomes · Centre College Kentucky · 2026Centre College Kentucky’s most likely regular season is 4-6. 96% of outcomes land from 3-7 to 5-5.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
3 wins 20%; 4 wins 53%; 5 wins 23%; 6 wins 3%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor2-10Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base4-8Mid-table finish.
Ceiling7-5Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 2-4
Game feel44even gamescombined pts / game6th highest-scoring of 8 in the Southern Athletic
Heart rate0-2white-knucklein one-score games (2 of 6)1st most one-score games of 8 in the Southern Athletic
Margin+8.0competitiveavg scoring margin4th best margin of 8 in the Southern Athletic
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among Southern Athletic teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
The Colonels of Danville, the 'Praying Colonels' who shocked undefeated Harvard 6-0 in 1921 — the 'C6H0' upset, one of the greatest in football history — and now play Division III in the SAA.
Standard GapAn elite little liberal-arts college whose proudest football currency…
Centre pulled off C6H0, one of the biggest upsets the sport has ever seen, and the modern football world files a tiny Kentucky college away as a museum piece.
Game day
The experience
The Colonels of Danville, the 'Praying Colonels' who shocked undefeated Harvard 6-0 in 1921, the 'C6H0' upset, one of the greatest in football history, and now play Division III in the SAA.
Playoff path
Centre College Kentucky sits 5th in the Southern Athletic Conference and 165th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
Southern Athletic · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trinity (TX) | 2-0 | 5-1 | 64.0 |
| 2 | Hendrix | 1-0 | 4-2 | 58.1 |
| 3 | Millsaps | 3-1 | 5-1 | 58.5 |
| 4 | Berry | 2-1 | 5-1 | 65.6 |
| 5 | Centre | 1-1 | 2-4 | 44.1 |
| 6 | Southwestern U | 1-2 | 1-5 | 40.0 |
| 7 | Sewanee | 0-2 | 1-5 | 35.7 |
| 8 | Rhodes | 0-3 | 0-6 | 33.4 |
44.1 CFB Zeitgeist#165 of 245 D353.7 strength of schedule
Win the Southern Athletic Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 2-4
Signature win 45-0 over Bridgewater; toughest day 0-17 against Hanover.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site